Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 13
Apr 25, 2026 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Agustín Dos Santos 46' yellowcard
  • Tomás Verón Lupi 66' yellowcard
  • 66' yellowcard
  • Agustín Rogel 68' goal
  • Rodrigo Martínez 83' yellowcard
  • Exequiel Mereles 88' yellowcard
  • Juan Pintado 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joaquín Pereyra 39'
  • goal Mateo Peralta 56'
  • yellowcard Enzo Cabrera 66'
  • yellowcard 66'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Azambuja 66'
  • yellowcard Martín Jourdan 74'
  • yellowcard Enrique Femia 74'
  • goal Enzo Cabrera 76'

Nacional vs Danubio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 19, 2026 11.30pm
Liverpool 1 - 3 Nacional

Danubio

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 19, 2026 8.00pm
Danubio 1 - 1 Maldonado

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 59.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.96% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.32%) and 2-1 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%) , while for a Danubio win it was 0-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result

Nacional 59.03% (-0.01)
Draw 24.96%
Danubio 16%

Both Teams to Score: 

41.27% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.3% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 33.7% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 40.05%
Under 2.5 59.9% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 19.39%
Under 3.5 80.62% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 10.6% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 89.4% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Nacional 40.92%
Draw 44.6%
Danubio 14.48%

Team To Score First

Nacional 64.18% (-0.07)
No Goal 10.05%
Danubio 25.77% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 44.35% (+0.29)
Equal 8 12.75% (+0.03)
Under 8 42.9% (-0.33)
Over 9 32.67% (+0.25)
Equal 9 11.68% (+0.05)
Under 9 55.65% (-0.29)
Over 10.5 22.87% (+0.18)
Under 10.5 77.13% (-0.18)

Nacional Goals

Over 1.5 46.4%
Under 1.5 53.6%
Over 2.5 20.11% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 79.89% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.77%
Under 3.5 93.23%

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5 47.97% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 52.03% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 14.56%
Under 1.5 85.44%
Over 2.5 3.22% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 96.78% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.65%
Under 3.5 99.35%

Score analysis

Nacional 59.03%
Draw 24.97%
Danubio 16%
Nacional
1-0 @ 16.77% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 12.32%
2-1 @ 10.17%
3-0 @ 6.13% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.8%
3-2 @ 2.08%
Other @ 6.76%
Total : 59.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.56% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 10.05%
2-2 @ 3.02%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.97%
Danubio
0-1 @ 6.88%
1-2 @ 3.87%
0-2 @ 2.37% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 16%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Oct 12, 2025 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Jun 27, 2025 11.00pm
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 11
Apr 13, 2025 9.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Luciano Boggio 57' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Coates 66' yellowcard
  • Jeremia Recoba 73' goal
  • Nicolas Lopez 80' goal
  • Gabriel Baez 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santiago Romero 31'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Fernandez 53'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Pintos 64'
  • yellowcard Matias Gonzalez 66'
  • redcard Sebastian Fernandez 79'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 14
Nov 28, 2024 12.15am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Alfredo Victor Viera
  • Santiago Etchebarne 29' yellowcard
  • Santiago Etchebarne 29' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexis Castro 14'
  • yellowcard Alexis Castro 14'
  • yellowcard Christian Oliva 81'
  • yellowcard Diego Polenta 81'
  • yellowcard Christian Oliva 81'
  • yellowcard Diego Polenta 81'
  • yellowcard Lucas Sanabria 88'
  • yellowcard Lucas Sanabria 88'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Jul 13, 2024 7.00pm
0
6
HT : 0 3
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
  • Santiago Etchebarne 31' yellowcard
  • goal Alexis Castro 24'
  • goal Diego Zabala 35'
  • goal Antonio Galeano 38'
  • goal Gabriel Baez 51'
  • goal Antonio Galeano 88'
  • yellowcard Antonio Galeano 88'
  • yellowcard Felipe Cairus 90'+2'
  • goal Gonzalo Petit Abad 90'+6'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 14
May 25, 2024 10.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • 66' goal
  • Diego Polenta 83' yellowcard
  • Ruben Bentancourt 84' goal
  • Ruben Bentancourt 85' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Baez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santiago Romero 17'
  • yellowcard Lucas Ferreira 42'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Leyes 90'