Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 13
Apr 25, 2026 11.00pm
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional vs Danubio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 19, 2026 11.30pm
Liverpool 1 - 3 Nacional

Danubio

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 19, 2026 8.00pm
Danubio 1 - 1 Maldonado

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional win with a probability of 59.55%. A draw has a probability of 24.47% and a win for Danubio has a probability of 15.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win is 1-0 with a probability of 16.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.36%) and 2-1 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.4%) , while for a Danubio win it is 0-1 (6.74%).

Result

Nacional 59.55%
Draw 24.47%
Danubio 15.98%

Both Teams to Score: 

41.83%

Goals

Over 1.5 67.02%
Under 1.5 32.98%
Over 2.5 40.9%
Under 2.5 59.1%
Over 3.5 20.01%
Under 3.5 79.99%
Over 4.5 11.05%
Under 4.5 88.95%

First Half Winner

Nacional 40.71%
Draw 44.73%
Danubio 14.56%

Team To Score First

Nacional 64.39%
No Goal 9.73%
Danubio 25.88%

Corners

Over 8 44.32%
Equal 8 12.68%
Under 8 42.99%
Over 9 32.7%
Equal 9 11.62%
Under 9 55.68%
Over 10.5 22.95%
Under 10.5 77.05%

Nacional Goals

Over 1.5 47.19%
Under 1.5 52.81%
Over 2.5 20.86%
Under 2.5 79.14%
Over 3.5 7.09%
Under 3.5 92.91%

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5 47.98%
Under 0.5 52.02%
Over 1.5 14.78%
Under 1.5 85.22%
Over 2.5 3.27%
Under 2.5 96.73%
Over 3.5 0.67%
Under 3.5 99.33%

Score analysis

Nacional 59.54%
Draw 24.48%
Danubio 15.98%
Nacional
1-0 @ 16.51%
2-0 @ 12.36%
2-1 @ 10.12%
3-0 @ 6.34%
3-1 @ 4.94%
3-2 @ 2.19%
Other @ 7.08%
Total : 59.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.4%
0-0 @ 9.73%
2-2 @ 3.04%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.48%
Danubio
0-1 @ 6.74%
1-2 @ 3.92%
0-2 @ 2.36%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 15.98%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Oct 12, 2025 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Jun 27, 2025 11.00pm
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 11
Apr 13, 2025 9.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Luciano Boggio 57' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Coates 66' yellowcard
  • Jeremia Recoba 73' goal
  • Nicolas Lopez 80' goal
  • Gabriel Baez 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santiago Romero 31'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Fernandez 53'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Pintos 64'
  • yellowcard Matias Gonzalez 66'
  • redcard Sebastian Fernandez 79'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 14
Nov 28, 2024 12.15am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Alfredo Victor Viera
  • Santiago Etchebarne 29' yellowcard
  • Santiago Etchebarne 29' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexis Castro 14'
  • yellowcard Alexis Castro 14'
  • yellowcard Christian Oliva 81'
  • yellowcard Diego Polenta 81'
  • yellowcard Christian Oliva 81'
  • yellowcard Diego Polenta 81'
  • yellowcard Lucas Sanabria 88'
  • yellowcard Lucas Sanabria 88'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Jul 13, 2024 7.00pm
0
6
HT : 0 3
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
  • Santiago Etchebarne 31' yellowcard
  • goal Alexis Castro 24'
  • goal Diego Zabala 35'
  • goal Antonio Galeano 38'
  • goal Gabriel Baez 51'
  • goal Antonio Galeano 88'
  • yellowcard Antonio Galeano 88'
  • yellowcard Felipe Cairus 90'+2'
  • goal Gonzalo Petit Abad 90'+6'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 14
May 25, 2024 10.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • 66' goal
  • Diego Polenta 83' yellowcard
  • Ruben Bentancourt 84' goal
  • Ruben Bentancourt 85' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Baez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santiago Romero 17'
  • yellowcard Lucas Ferreira 42'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Leyes 90'