Brasileiro Gameweek 18
May 30, 2026 9.30pm
Arena do Grêmio

Gremio vs Corinthians - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Last game
May 23, 2026 11.00pm
Gremio 3 - 2 Santos
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Carlos Vinicius

Corinthians

All competitions
Last game
May 24, 2026 10.30pm
Corinthians 1 - 0 Atletico Mineiro
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Breno Bidon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gremio win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Corinthians has a probability of 28.44% and a draw has a probability of 27.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Corinthians win is 0-1 (9.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.46%).

Result

Gremio 43.78% (-0.48)
Draw 27.77% (-0.15)
Corinthians 28.44% (+0.64)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.65% (+0.90)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.46% (+0.76)
Under 1.5 30.54% (-0.77)
Over 2.5 42.84% (+0.90)
Under 2.5 57.16% (-0.90)
Over 3.5 21.76% (+0.79)
Under 3.5 78.24% (-0.75)
Over 4.5 11.15% (+0.49)
Under 4.5 88.85% (-0.49)

First Half Winner

Gremio 32.87% (-0.06)
Draw 46.19% (+0.02)
Corinthians 20.93% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Gremio 52.05% (+0.25)
No Goal 8.98% (-0.31)
Corinthians 38.97% (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 53.99% (+0.04)
Equal 8 12.07% (+0.01)
Under 8 33.94% (-0.04)
Over 9 42.06% (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.93% (+0.01)
Under 9 46.01% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 31.26% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 68.74% (-0.03)

Gremio Goals

Over 1.5 38.57% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 61.43% (-0.19)
Over 2.5 14.52% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 85.48% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 4.66% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 95.34% (-0.10)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5 61.96% (+0.97)
Under 0.5 38.04% (-0.97)
Over 1.5 26.46% (+0.99)
Under 1.5 73.54% (-0.98)
Over 2.5 8.72% (+0.50)
Under 2.5 91.28% (-0.49)
Over 3.5 2.1% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 97.9% (-0.17)

Score analysis

Gremio 43.79%
Draw 27.77%
Corinthians 28.46%
Gremio
1-0 @ 12.37% (-0.36)
2-1 @ 9.14%
2-0 @ 8.53% (-0.23)
3-1 @ 3.69% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.56% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 1.88% (+0.08)
Other @ 4.62% (+0.09)
Total : 43.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.46% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 8.98% (-0.31)
2-2 @ 4.56% (+0.15)
Other @ 0.04% (+0.02)
Total : 27.77%
Corinthians
0-1 @ 9.21% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 6.69% (+0.17)
0-2 @ 4.61% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 2.38% (+0.13)
2-3 @ 1.82% (+0.10)
0-3 @ 1.69% (+0.07)
Other @ 2.06% (+0.17)
Total : 28.46%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Nov 2, 2025 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 12
Jun 13, 2025 12.00am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Martin Braithwaite 29' goal
  • Mathias Villasanti 41' yellowcard
  • Douglas Moreira 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Breno Bidon 31'
  • goal Breno Bidon 36'
  • yellowcard Caca 49'
  • yellowcard Andre Ramalho 57'
Brasileiro Gameweek 38
Dec 8, 2024 7.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Arena do Gremio
  • Reinaldo 25' yellowcard
  • Douglas Moreira 79' redcard
  • Miguel Monsalve 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Yuri Alberto 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Andre Carrillo 54'
  • yellowcard Hugo Souza 65'
  • redcard Jose Andres Martinez 79'
  • goal Charles 88'
  • goal Memphis Depay 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Matheus Bidu 90'+6'
Copa do Brasil
Aug 8, 2024 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena do Gremio
  • Walter Kannemann 45' yellowcard
  • Walter Kannemann 45' yellowcard
  • Diego Costa 71' yellowcard
  • Diego Costa 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Caca 26'
  • yellowcard Caca 26'
  • yellowcard Charles 33'
  • yellowcard Charles 33'
  • yellowcard Matheuzinho 56'
  • yellowcard Matheuzinho 56'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Henrique 71'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Henrique 71'
Copa do Brasil
Aug 1, 2024 1.30am
0
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena Corinthians
  • <TBD> 11' goal
  • Raniele 54' redcard
  • Raniele 54' redcard
  • Andre Ramalho 81' yellowcard
  • Andre Ramalho 81' yellowcard
  • Giovane 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Agustin Marchesin 50'
  • yellowcard Agustin Marchesin 50'
  • yellowcard Pedro Geromel 60'
  • yellowcard Pedro Geromel 60'
  • yellowcard Jemerson 70'
  • yellowcard Jemerson 70'
  • redcard Gustavo Nunes 90'+9'
  • redcard Gustavo Nunes 90'+9'
Brasileiro Gameweek 19
Jul 26, 2024 12.00am
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Arena Corinthians
  • Yuri Alberto 25' goal
  • Yuri Alberto 25' goal
  • Caca 40' yellowcard
  • Caca 40' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Garro 87' goal
  • Rodrigo Garro 87' goal
  • goal Rodrigo Ely 2'
  • goal Rodrigo Ely 2'
  • yellowcard Pedro Geromel 31'
  • yellowcard Pedro Geromel 31'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Ely 34'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Ely 34'
  • goal Mathias Villasanti 76'
  • goal Mathias Villasanti 76'