Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 6
May 26, 2026 11.00pm
Arena do Grêmio

Gremio vs Montevideo City Torque - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 21, 2026 1.00am
Gremio 2 - 0 Palestino

Montevideo City Torque

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 19, 2026 11.00pm
Torque 4 - 1 Deportivo Riestra

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gremio win with a probability of 53.47%. A draw has a probability of 24.39% and a win for Montevideo City Torque has a probability of 22.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.23%) and 2-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.69%) , while for a Montevideo City Torque win it is 0-1 (6.74%).

Result

Gremio 53.47% (+0.26)
Draw 24.39% (-0.06)
Montevideo City Torque 22.07% (-0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.92% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.29% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 25.71% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 50.11% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 49.89% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 26.69% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 73.31% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 15.51% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 84.49% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Gremio 36.03% (+0.11)
Draw 44.39% (-0.04)
Montevideo City Torque 19.58% (-0.07)

Team To Score First

Gremio 59.22% (+0.20)
No Goal 7.38% (-0.01)
Montevideo City Torque 33.4% (-0.20)

Corners

Over 8 54.77% (+0.18)
Equal 8 11.91% (+0.02)
Under 8 33.32% (-0.19)
Over 9 42.92% (+0.13)
Equal 9 11.84% (+0.04)
Under 9 45.23% (-0.18)
Over 10.5 32.13% (+0.09)
Under 10.5 67.87% (-0.08)

Gremio Goals

Over 1.5 48.81% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 51.19% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 23.13% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 76.87% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 8.9% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 91.1% (-0.03)

Montevideo City Torque Goals

Over 0.5 56.89% (-0.29)
Under 0.5 43.11% (+0.29)
Over 1.5 23.23% (-0.26)
Under 1.5 76.77% (+0.26)
Over 2.5 7.15% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 92.85% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 1.7% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 98.3% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Gremio 53.46%
Draw 24.38%
Montevideo City Torque 22.07%
Gremio
1-0 @ 11.5% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 10.23% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 9.58% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.76% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 5% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59%
Other @ 8.8% (+0.03)
Total : 53.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.69% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.38% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.38%
Montevideo City Torque
0-1 @ 6.74% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 6.24% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.92% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.6% (-0.05)
Total : 22.07%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 1
Apr 9, 2026 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Centenario
  • E. Agüero 49' goal
  • Bautista Kociubinski 61' yellowcard
  • Diogo Guzmán 81' yellowcard
  • Kevin Silva 89' yellowcard
  • José Tarán 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Nardoni 56'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Mec 56'
  • yellowcard Francis Amuzu 56'
  • yellowcard Miguel Monsalve 63'
  • yellowcard André Henrique 70'