Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
May 10, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Charrúa
  • Facundo Silvera 35' goal
  • Franco Pizzichillo 45' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Da Silva 45'+1' goal
  • Franco Pizzichillo 46' yellowcard
  • Juan Quintana 46' yellowcard
  • José Tarán 76' yellowcard
  • José Tarán 77' yellowcard
  • 77' yellowcard
  • José Tarán 85' yellowcard
  • Andrés Muñoz 85' yellowcard
  • 88' yellowcard
  • Kevin Silva 88' yellowcard
  • goal Nahuel López 12'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Dos Santos 57'
  • yellowcard Diego Gaston Silva Ibanez 57'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Lemmo 68'
  • yellowcard Diego Sánchez 68'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Lemmo 71'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Silva 87'

Montevideo City Torque vs Progreso - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montevideo City Torque

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 3, 2026 7.30pm
Racing 1 - 1 Torque

Progreso

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 3, 2026 1.30pm
Progreso 0 - 1 Cerro Largo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 51.55%. A draw had a probability of 26.58% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 21.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%) , while for a Progreso win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result

Montevideo City Torque 51.55% (-1.36)
Draw 26.58% (+0.30)
Progreso 21.87% (+1.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.68% (+0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.97% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 33.03% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 41.36% (-0.30)
Under 2.5 58.64% (+0.30)
Over 3.5 20.89% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 79.11% (+0.21)
Over 4.5 10.96% (-0.20)
Under 4.5 89.04% (+0.21)

First Half Winner

Montevideo City Torque 36.66%
Draw 46.17%
Progreso 17.17%

Team To Score First

Montevideo City Torque 59% (-0.08)
No Goal 9.79% (+0.10)
Progreso 31.21% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 50.28%
Equal 8 12.83%
Under 8 36.89%
Over 9 37.98%
Equal 9 12.31%
Under 9 49.72%
Over 10.5 27.22%
Under 10.5 72.78%

Montevideo City Torque Goals

Over 1.5 42.23% (-1.07)
Under 1.5 57.77% (+1.07)
Over 2.5 17.31% (-0.75)
Under 2.5 82.69% (+0.74)
Over 3.5 5.7% (-0.34)
Under 3.5 94.3% (+0.35)

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5 54.86% (+1.04)
Under 0.5 45.14% (-1.04)
Over 1.5 20.57% (+0.79)
Under 1.5 79.43% (-0.78)
Over 2.5 5.6% (+0.34)
Under 2.5 94.4% (-0.33)
Over 3.5 1.2% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 98.8% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Montevideo City Torque 51.55%
Draw 26.59%
Progreso 21.88%
Montevideo City Torque
1-0 @ 15.21% (-0.18)
2-0 @ 9.98% (-0.33)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 4.49% (-0.27)
3-1 @ 4.36% (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.16%
Other @ 5.69% (-0.34)
Total : 51.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.22% (+0.16)
0-0 @ 9.79% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 3.97% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.59%
Progreso
0-1 @ 8.05% (+0.33)
1-2 @ 5.45% (+0.19)
0-2 @ 3.39% (+0.23)
1-3 @ 1.62% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 1.31% (+0.06)
Other @ 1.19% (+0.09)
Total : 21.88%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Nov 1, 2025 1.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Jun 13, 2025 11.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Agustin Diogo Guzman 10' goal
  • Eduardo Aguero 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Walter Nunez 51' goal
  • Lautaro Lopez 66' yellowcard
  • Lucas Pino Garcia 81' goal
  • Alexander Nahuel da Silva Rivero 84' yellowcard
  • goal Facundo Silvera 55'
  • yellowcard Ayrton Cougo 57'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Olivera 61'
  • redcard Nahuel Suarez 63'
  • yellowcard Adrian Colombino 86'
  • yellowcard Adrian Colombino 87'
  • yellowcard Matteo Tiziano Copelotti Clara 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Suarez 90'+6'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 14
May 4, 2025 2.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Parque Alfredo Victor Viera
  • Gary Kagelmacher 7' yellowcard
  • Lucas Pino Garcia 36' yellowcard
  • Walter Nunez 40' goal
  • Walter Nunez 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Jose Neris 60' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Rodriguez 65' goal
  • Esteban Daniel Obregon 66' yellowcard
  • goal Nicolas Gonzalez 17'
  • goal Nicolas Olivera 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Olivera 59'
  • goal Facundo Nahuel Sosa Santana 90'+5'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
Dec 4, 2021 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Sebastian Guerrero 15' goal
  • Joaquin Pereyra 26' yellowcard
  • Lucas Rodriguez 68' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Milesi 68' yellowcard
  • Jose Alvarez 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 31'
  • yellowcard 74'
  • yellowcard 88'
  • yellowcard 90'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
Aug 20, 2021 4.45pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Jonathan Ramis 23' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Alles 32' goal
  • Bryan Bentaberry 33' yellowcard
  • Lucas Ferreira 36' yellowcard
  • Santiago Arias 64' yellowcard
  • goal Juan Cejas 18'
  • goal Marcelo Allende 30'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Brun 38'
  • yellowcard Jose Alvarez 40'
  • yellowcard Gaston Guruceaga 42'
  • yellowcard Juan Cejas 59'
  • goal Juan Cejas 65'
  • goal Axel Alejandro Perez Etchelar 85'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
Jan 17, 2021 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mauricio Loffreda 52' yellowcard
  • Nicola Perez 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santiago Scotto 24'
  • yellowcard Diego Arismendi 84'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo De Olivera 90'+3'