Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
Torque
May 10, 2026 8.00pm
Estadio Charrúa
Progreso

Montevideo City Torque vs Progreso - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montevideo City Torque

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 3, 2026 7.30pm
Racing 1 - 1 Torque

Progreso

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 3, 2026 1.30pm
Progreso 0 - 1 Cerro Largo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 51.55%. A draw has a probability of 26.58% and a win for Progreso has a probability of 21.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.22%) , while for a Progreso win it is 0-1 (8.05%).

Result

Montevideo City Torque 51.55% ▼ (-1.36)
Draw 26.58% ▲ (+0.30)
Progreso 21.87% ▲ (+1.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.68% ▲ (+0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.97% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 33.03% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 2.5 41.36% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 2.5 58.64% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 3.5 20.89% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 3.5 79.11% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 4.5 10.96% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 4.5 89.04% ▲ (+0.21)

First Half Winner

Montevideo City Torque 36.66%
Draw 46.17%
Progreso 17.17%

Team To Score First

Montevideo City Torque 59% ▼ (-0.08)
No Goal 9.79% ▲ (+0.10)
Progreso 31.21% ▼ (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 50.28%
Equal 8 12.83%
Under 8 36.89%
Over 9 37.98%
Equal 9 12.31%
Under 9 49.72%
Over 10.5 27.22%
Under 10.5 72.78%

Montevideo City Torque Goals

Over 1.5 42.23% ▼ (-1.07)
Under 1.5 57.77% ▲ (+1.07)
Over 2.5 17.31% ▼ (-0.75)
Under 2.5 82.69% ▲ (+0.74)
Over 3.5 5.7% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 3.5 94.3% ▲ (+0.35)

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5 54.86% ▲ (+1.04)
Under 0.5 45.14% ▼ (-1.04)
Over 1.5 20.57% ▲ (+0.79)
Under 1.5 79.43% ▼ (-0.78)
Over 2.5 5.6% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 2.5 94.4% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 3.5 1.2% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 98.8% ▼ (-0.10)

Score analysis

Montevideo City Torque 51.55%
Draw 26.59%
Progreso 21.88%
Montevideo City Torque
1-0 @ 15.21% ▼ (-0.18)
2-0 @ 9.98% ▼ (-0.33)
2-1 @ 9.66% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.27)
3-1 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.16%
Other @ 5.69% ▼ (-0.34)
Total : 51.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.22% ▲ (+0.16)
0-0 @ 9.79% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.59%
Progreso
0-1 @ 8.05% ▲ (+0.33)
1-2 @ 5.45% ▲ (+0.19)
0-2 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.23)
1-3 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.11)
2-3 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 21.88%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Progreso
Nov 1, 2025 1.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 0
FT
Torque
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Torque
Jun 13, 2025 11.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Progreso
  • Agustin Diogo Guzman 10' goal
  • Eduardo Aguero 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Walter Nunez 51' goal
  • Lautaro Lopez 66' yellowcard
  • Lucas Pino Garcia 81' goal
  • Alexander Nahuel da Silva Rivero 84' yellowcard
  • goal Facundo Silvera 55'
  • yellowcard Ayrton Cougo 57'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Olivera 61'
  • redcard Nahuel Suarez 63'
  • yellowcard Adrian Colombino 86'
  • yellowcard Adrian Colombino 87'
  • yellowcard Matteo Tiziano Copelotti Clara 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Suarez 90'+6'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 14
Torque
May 4, 2025 2.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Parque Alfredo Victor Viera
Progreso
  • Gary Kagelmacher 7' yellowcard
  • Lucas Pino Garcia 36' yellowcard
  • Walter Nunez 40' goal
  • Walter Nunez 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Jose Neris 60' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Rodriguez 65' goal
  • Esteban Daniel Obregon 66' yellowcard
  • goal Nicolas Gonzalez 17'
  • goal Nicolas Olivera 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Olivera 59'
  • goal Facundo Nahuel Sosa Santana 90'+5'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
Torque
Dec 4, 2021 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Progreso
  • Sebastian Guerrero 15' goal
  • Joaquin Pereyra 26' yellowcard
  • Lucas Rodriguez 68' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Milesi 68' yellowcard
  • Jose Alvarez 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 31'
  • yellowcard 74'
  • yellowcard 88'
  • yellowcard 90'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
Progreso
Aug 20, 2021 4.45pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT
Torque
  • Jonathan Ramis 23' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Alles 32' goal
  • Bryan Bentaberry 33' yellowcard
  • Lucas Ferreira 36' yellowcard
  • Santiago Arias 64' yellowcard
  • goal Juan Cejas 18'
  • goal Marcelo Allende 30'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Brun 38'
  • yellowcard Jose Alvarez 40'
  • yellowcard Gaston Guruceaga 42'
  • yellowcard Juan Cejas 59'
  • goal Juan Cejas 65'
  • goal Axel Alejandro Perez Etchelar 85'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
Progreso
Jan 17, 2021 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Torque
  • Mauricio Loffreda 52' yellowcard
  • Nicola Perez 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santiago Scotto 24'
  • yellowcard Diego Arismendi 84'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo De Olivera 90'+3'

Form Data

Torque 1 - 0 Palestino
Racing 1 - 1 Torque
Deportivo Riestra 2 - 1 Torque
Torque 4 - 1 Boston River
Cerro 1 - 1 Torque
Palestino 0 - 2 Torque
Progreso 0 - 1 Cerro Largo
Defensor 1 - 0 Progreso
Progreso 2 - 1 Wanderers
Juventud 1 - 0 Progreso
Progreso 0 - 2 Penarol
Progreso 3 - 3 Liverpool