Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
May 23, 2026 2.00pm
Parque Abraham Paladino

Progreso vs Montevideo City Torque - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Progreso

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 16, 2026 7.00pm
Juventud 2 - 0 Progreso

Montevideo City Torque

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 16, 2026 12.00am
Torque 1 - 2 Nacional

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 51.58%. A draw has a probability of 26.41% and a win for Progreso has a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.27%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.18%) , while for a Progreso win it is 1-0 (7.92%).

Result

Progreso 22% (+0.27)
Draw 26.41% (+0.11)
Montevideo City Torque 51.58% (-0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.82% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.44% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 31.56% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 42.43% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 57.57% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 21.07% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 78.93% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 11.29% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 88.71% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Progreso 18.54%
Draw 44.13% (+0.09)
Montevideo City Torque 37.33% (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Progreso 31.75% (+0.24)
No Goal 9.84% (+0.09)
Montevideo City Torque 58.41% (-0.33)

Corners

Over 8 52.13% (+0.03)
Equal 8 12.55% (+0.03)
Under 8 35.32% (-0.04)
Over 9 39.88%
Equal 9 12.24% (+0.01)
Under 9 47.87% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 28.98% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 71.02% (+0.02)

Progreso Goals

Over 1.5 20.34% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 79.66% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 5.58% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 94.42% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 1.1% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.9% (-0.01)

Montevideo City Torque Goals

Over 0.5 76.41% (-0.27)
Under 0.5 23.59% (+0.27)
Over 1.5 43.41% (-0.32)
Under 1.5 56.59% (+0.32)
Over 2.5 18.47% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 81.53% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 6.58% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 93.42% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Progreso 22%
Draw 26.42%
Montevideo City Torque 51.58%
Progreso
1-0 @ 7.92% (+0.10)
2-1 @ 5.48% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 3.56% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 1.54% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.23% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.18% (+0.04)
Other @ 1.09% (+0.02)
Total : 22%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.18% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 9.84% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.42%
Montevideo City Torque
0-1 @ 13.8% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 10.27% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 9.58% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 5.12% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.38% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.04)
Other @ 6.57% (-0.05)
Total : 51.58%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
May 10, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Charrúa
  • Facundo Silvera 35' goal
  • Franco Pizzichillo 45' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Da Silva 45'+1' goal
  • Franco Pizzichillo 46' yellowcard
  • Juan Quintana 46' yellowcard
  • José Tarán 76' yellowcard
  • José Tarán 77' yellowcard
  • 77' yellowcard
  • José Tarán 85' yellowcard
  • Andrés Muñoz 85' yellowcard
  • 88' yellowcard
  • Kevin Silva 88' yellowcard
  • goal Nahuel López 12'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Dos Santos 57'
  • yellowcard Diego Gaston Silva Ibanez 57'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Lemmo 68'
  • yellowcard Diego Sánchez 68'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Lemmo 71'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Silva 87'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Nov 1, 2025 1.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Jun 13, 2025 11.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Agustin Diogo Guzman 10' goal
  • Eduardo Aguero 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Walter Nunez 51' goal
  • Lautaro Lopez 66' yellowcard
  • Lucas Pino Garcia 81' goal
  • Alexander Nahuel da Silva Rivero 84' yellowcard
  • goal Facundo Silvera 55'
  • yellowcard Ayrton Cougo 57'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Olivera 61'
  • redcard Nahuel Suarez 63'
  • yellowcard Adrian Colombino 86'
  • yellowcard Adrian Colombino 87'
  • yellowcard Matteo Tiziano Copelotti Clara 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Suarez 90'+6'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 14
May 4, 2025 2.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Parque Alfredo Victor Viera
  • Gary Kagelmacher 7' yellowcard
  • Lucas Pino Garcia 36' yellowcard
  • Walter Nunez 40' goal
  • Walter Nunez 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Jose Neris 60' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Rodriguez 65' goal
  • Esteban Daniel Obregon 66' yellowcard
  • goal Nicolas Gonzalez 17'
  • goal Nicolas Olivera 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Olivera 59'
  • goal Facundo Nahuel Sosa Santana 90'+5'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
Dec 4, 2021 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Sebastian Guerrero 15' goal
  • Joaquin Pereyra 26' yellowcard
  • Lucas Rodriguez 68' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Milesi 68' yellowcard
  • Jose Alvarez 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 31'
  • yellowcard 74'
  • yellowcard 88'
  • yellowcard 90'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
Aug 20, 2021 4.45pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Jonathan Ramis 23' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Alles 32' goal
  • Bryan Bentaberry 33' yellowcard
  • Lucas Ferreira 36' yellowcard
  • Santiago Arias 64' yellowcard
  • goal Juan Cejas 18'
  • goal Marcelo Allende 30'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Brun 38'
  • yellowcard Jose Alvarez 40'
  • yellowcard Gaston Guruceaga 42'
  • yellowcard Juan Cejas 59'
  • goal Juan Cejas 65'
  • goal Axel Alejandro Perez Etchelar 85'