Uruguayan Primera Division
May 23, 2026 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
  • Nahuel López 35' goal
  • F. García 72' yellowcard
  • Facundo Kidd 72' yellowcard
  • Gary Silva 72' yellowcard
  • Diego Sánchez 85' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Lemmo 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexander Da Silva Gunnarsson 25'
  • yellowcard Salomón Rodríguez 46'
  • yellowcard Luka Andrade 62'
  • yellowcard Bautista Kociubinski 74'
  • yellowcard 74'
  • goal Salomón Rodríguez 79'
  • yellowcard Franco Romero 88'
  • yellowcard E. Agüero 88'

Progreso vs Montevideo City Torque - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Progreso

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 16, 2026 7.00pm
Juventud 2 - 0 Progreso

Montevideo City Torque

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 16, 2026 12.00am
Torque 1 - 2 Nacional

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 26.42% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 21.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.27%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%) , while for a Progreso win it was 1-0 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result

Progreso 21.94% (-0.06)
Draw 26.42% (+0.02)
Montevideo City Torque 51.59% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.78% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.38% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 31.62% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 42.46% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 57.54% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 21.08% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 78.92% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 11.26% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 88.74% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Progreso 18.55% (+0.02)
Draw 44.04% (-0.10)
Montevideo City Torque 37.41% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Progreso 31.62% (-0.13)
No Goal 9.83% (-0.01)
Montevideo City Torque 58.55% (+0.15)

Corners

Over 8 52.18% (+0.05)
Equal 8 12.54% (-0.02)
Under 8 35.28% (-0.04)
Over 9 39.94% (+0.06)
Equal 9 12.24%
Under 9 47.82% (-0.05)
Over 10.5 29.04% (+0.06)
Under 10.5 70.96% (-0.07)

Progreso Goals

Over 1.5 20.36% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 79.64% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 5.59% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 94.41% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.1%
Under 3.5 98.9%

Montevideo City Torque Goals

Over 0.5 76.45% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 23.55% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 43.4% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 56.6% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 18.39% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 81.61% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 6.54% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 93.46% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Progreso 21.94%
Draw 26.42%
Montevideo City Torque 51.58%
Progreso
1-0 @ 7.88% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 5.51% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 3.51% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 1.54%
3-2 @ 1.23%
3-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 21.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.15% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 9.83% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.89% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.42%
Montevideo City Torque
0-1 @ 13.85% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 10.27%
1-2 @ 9.62% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 5.06% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 4.39% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 6.53% (-0.05)
Total : 51.58%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
May 10, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Charrúa
  • Facundo Silvera 35' goal
  • Franco Pizzichillo 45' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Da Silva 45'+1' goal
  • Franco Pizzichillo 46' yellowcard
  • Juan Quintana 46' yellowcard
  • José Tarán 76' yellowcard
  • José Tarán 77' yellowcard
  • 77' yellowcard
  • José Tarán 85' yellowcard
  • Andrés Muñoz 85' yellowcard
  • 88' yellowcard
  • Kevin Silva 88' yellowcard
  • goal Nahuel López 12'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Dos Santos 57'
  • yellowcard Diego Gaston Silva Ibanez 57'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Lemmo 68'
  • yellowcard Diego Sánchez 68'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Lemmo 71'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Silva 87'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Nov 1, 2025 1.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Jun 13, 2025 11.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Agustin Diogo Guzman 10' goal
  • Eduardo Aguero 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Walter Nunez 51' goal
  • Lautaro Lopez 66' yellowcard
  • Lucas Pino Garcia 81' goal
  • Alexander Nahuel da Silva Rivero 84' yellowcard
  • goal Facundo Silvera 55'
  • yellowcard Ayrton Cougo 57'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Olivera 61'
  • redcard Nahuel Suarez 63'
  • yellowcard Adrian Colombino 86'
  • yellowcard Adrian Colombino 87'
  • yellowcard Matteo Tiziano Copelotti Clara 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Suarez 90'+6'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 14
May 4, 2025 2.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Parque Alfredo Victor Viera
  • Gary Kagelmacher 7' yellowcard
  • Lucas Pino Garcia 36' yellowcard
  • Walter Nunez 40' goal
  • Walter Nunez 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Jose Neris 60' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Rodriguez 65' goal
  • Esteban Daniel Obregon 66' yellowcard
  • goal Nicolas Gonzalez 17'
  • goal Nicolas Olivera 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Olivera 59'
  • goal Facundo Nahuel Sosa Santana 90'+5'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
Dec 4, 2021 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Sebastian Guerrero 15' goal
  • Joaquin Pereyra 26' yellowcard
  • Lucas Rodriguez 68' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Milesi 68' yellowcard
  • Jose Alvarez 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 31'
  • yellowcard 74'
  • yellowcard 88'
  • yellowcard 90'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
Aug 20, 2021 4.45pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Jonathan Ramis 23' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Alles 32' goal
  • Bryan Bentaberry 33' yellowcard
  • Lucas Ferreira 36' yellowcard
  • Santiago Arias 64' yellowcard
  • goal Juan Cejas 18'
  • goal Marcelo Allende 30'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Brun 38'
  • yellowcard Jose Alvarez 40'
  • yellowcard Gaston Guruceaga 42'
  • yellowcard Juan Cejas 59'
  • goal Juan Cejas 65'
  • goal Axel Alejandro Perez Etchelar 85'