Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
May 16, 2026 12.00am
Estadio Charrúa

Montevideo City Torque vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montevideo City Torque

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 10, 2026 8.00pm
Torque 2 - 1 Progreso

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
May 10, 2026 11.30pm
Nacional 4 - 0 Cerro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Nacional has a probability of 30.73% and a draw has a probability of 27.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Nacional win is 0-1 (9.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.5%).

Result

Montevideo City Torque 41.81% (-0.01)
Draw 27.51%
Nacional 30.73%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.67%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.3%
Under 1.5 28.7%
Over 2.5 45.47%
Under 2.5 54.53%
Over 3.5 23.82%
Under 3.5 76.18%
Over 4.5 12.36%
Under 4.5 87.64%

First Half Winner

Montevideo City Torque 29.72% (+0.01)
Draw 44.7%
Nacional 25.58%

Team To Score First

Montevideo City Torque 49.29%
No Goal 8.2%
Nacional 42.51%

Corners

Over 8 50.28% (+0.04)
Equal 8 12.28%
Under 8 37.44% (-0.04)
Over 9 38.48% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.8%
Under 9 49.72% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 28.08% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 71.92% (-0.04)

Montevideo City Torque Goals

Over 1.5 38.19%
Under 1.5 61.81%
Over 2.5 14.7%
Under 2.5 85.3%
Over 3.5 4.47%
Under 3.5 95.53%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 65.45%
Under 0.5 34.55%
Over 1.5 29.65%
Under 1.5 70.35%
Over 2.5 10.13%
Under 2.5 89.87%
Over 3.5 2.91%
Under 3.5 97.09%

Score analysis

Montevideo City Torque 41.82%
Draw 27.52%
Nacional 30.72%
Montevideo City Torque
1-0 @ 11.38%
2-1 @ 9.3%
2-0 @ 7.22%
3-1 @ 3.82%
3-0 @ 3.35%
3-2 @ 2.29%
Other @ 4.46%
Total : 41.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.5%
0-0 @ 8.2%
2-2 @ 5.04%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.52%
Nacional
0-1 @ 9.18%
1-2 @ 7.09%
0-2 @ 5.1%
1-3 @ 2.61%
2-3 @ 1.93%
0-3 @ 1.91%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 30.72%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 9
Mar 28, 2026 10.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Charrúa
  • Salomón Rodríguez 4' goal
  • Salomón Rodríguez 59' yellowcard
  • Sebastián Cáceres 65' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Busquets 71' yellowcard
  • Lucas Duré 81' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Da Silva 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maxi Gómez 31'
  • yellowcard Maxi Gómez 33'
  • goal Maxi Gómez 35'
  • goal Gonzalo Carneiro 41'
  • yellowcard Baltasar Barcia 60'
  • yellowcard Juan Cruz de los Santos 69'
  • yellowcard Agustín Rogel 86'
  • yellowcard P. Núñez 86'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
Aug 2, 2025 9.30pm
5
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Jun 1, 2025 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Centenario del Club Atletico Sarmiento
  • Ezequiel Busquets 25' goal
  • Agustin Diogo Guzman 33' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Busquets 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yonatan Rodriguez 36'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Baez 39'
  • goal Romulo Otero 64'
  • goal Gonzalo Petit Abad 74'
  • yellowcard Exequiel Mereles de la Quintana 88'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
Feb 2, 2025 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Centenario
  • Nahuel Leivas Rodriguez 19' goal
  • Gary Kagelmacher 24' yellowcard
  • Franco Pizzichillo 72' yellowcard
  • Esteban Daniel Obregon 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christian Oliva 69'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Pereyra 82'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Mederos Carro 87'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
Dec 7, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Leandro Lozano 11' redcard
  • Gabriel Baez 27' yellowcard
  • Diego Rodriguez 41' yellowcard
  • Fredy Martinez 51' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Carneiro 55' goal
  • Gonzalo Carneiro 90' yellowcard
  • Diego Polenta 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Franco Catarozzi 15'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Villa 16'
  • yellowcard Jose Alvarez 24'
  • yellowcard Tiago Palacios 33'
  • yellowcard Franco Catarozzi 59'
  • yellowcard Bruno Morales 81'
  • yellowcard Francisco Tinaglini 90'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
May 14, 2023 10.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 4
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • goal Yonatan Rodriguez 12'
  • goal Diego Zabala 21'
  • goal Ignacio Ramirez 34'
  • goal Ignacio Ramirez 44'