Copa Libertadores
Gameweek
4
-
Juan Torres
45'+1'
-
Luis Sandoval
45'+7'
-
Cristian Trujillo
74'
-
Jersson González
74'
-
Jherson Mosquera
74'
-
Jherson Mosquera
78'
-
Juan Pablo Nieto
81'
-
Jader Valencia
81'
-
Jersson González
89'
-
Maximiliano Silvera
46'
-
Juan Cruz de los Santos
70'
-
Tomás Verón Lupi
70'
-
Luciano Gonzalez
88'
Deportes Tolima vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Tolima win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Tolima win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (8.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result
Deportes Tolima
45.81%
▼
(-0.17)
Draw
26.06%
▲
(+0.05)
Nacional
28.14%
▲
(+0.13)
Both Teams to Score:
49.95%
▼
(-0.11)
Goals
Over 1.5
72.48%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 1.5
27.52%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 2.5
46.35%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 2.5
53.65%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 3.5
24.04%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 3.5
75.96%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 4.5
13.06%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 4.5
86.94%
▲
(+0.07)
First Half Winner
Deportes Tolima
32.71%
▼
(-0.18)
Draw
45.2%
▲
(+0.30)
Nacional
22.09%
▼
(-0.13)
Team To Score First
Deportes Tolima
56.28%
▼
(-0.08)
No Goal
7.77%
▲
(+0.04)
Nacional
35.95%
▲
(+0.05)
Corners
Over 8
49.9%
▼
(-0.47)
Equal 8
12.22%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 8
37.88%
▲
(+0.52)
Over 9
38.22%
▼
(-0.38)
Equal 9
11.69%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 9
50.1%
▲
(+0.47)
Over 10.5
27.95%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 10.5
72.04%
▲
(+0.28)
Deportes Tolima Goals
Over 1.5
41.46%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 1.5
58.54%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 2.5
17.46%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 2.5
82.54%
▲
(+0.19)
Over 3.5
5.86%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 3.5
94.14%
▲
(+0.10)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5
62.32%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 0.5
37.68%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 1.5
27%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
73%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 2.5
8.89%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 2.5
91.11%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 3.5
2.53%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
97.47%
▼
(-0.04)
Score analysis
Deportes Tolima
45.82%
Draw
26.07%
Nacional
28.15%
Deportes Tolima
1-0
@
11.25%
▲
(+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.35% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 8.41%
3-0 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.27%
Other @ 5.85% ▼ (-0.11)
Total : 45.82%
2-1 @ 9.35% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 8.41%
3-0 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.27%
Other @ 5.85% ▼ (-0.11)
Total : 45.82%
Draw
1-1
@
13.18%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 7.77% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.07%
0-0 @ 7.77% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.07%
Nacional
0-1
@
8.54%
▲
(+0.06)
1-2 @ 6.86% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 28.15%
1-2 @ 6.86% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 28.15%
Head to Head
Copa Libertadores
Gameweek
2
-
Maximiliano Silvera
46'
-
Maxi Gómez
48'
-
Sebastián Coates
64'
-
Agustín Dos Santos
85'
-
Nicolás López
87'
-
P. Núñez
90'+2'
-
Luciano Gonzalez
90'+4'
-
Edwar López
62'
-
Juan Torres
62'
-
Neifer Sánchez
76'
-
Shean Barbosa
76'
-
Sebastián Guzmán
76'
-
Sebastián Guzmán
77'
-
Neifer Sánchez
77'
-
Brayan Rovira
80'