Copa Libertadores
Gameweek
3
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-
Caín Fara
40'
-
Álex Valera
46'
-
Jesús Castillo
66'
-
Lisandro Alzugaray
69'
-
Héctor Fértoli
80'
-
José Rivera
80'
-
Lisandro Alzugaray
81'
-
José Carabalí
90'+1'
-
Maxi Gómez
14'
-
Maximiliano Silvera
63'
-
Agustín Dos Santos
63'
-
Maximiliano Silvera
71'
-
Rodrigo Martínez
83'
-
Emiliano Ancheta
83'
-
P. Núñez
86'
Universitario vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitario win with a probability of 51.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.49% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universitario win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%) , while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (8.63%).
Result
Universitario
51.11%
▼
(-0.17)
Draw
25.49%
▲
(+0.03)
Nacional
23.4%
▲
(+0.10)
Both Teams to Score:
44.89%
Goals
Over 1.5
69.18%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
30.82%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 2.5
43.14%
Under 2.5
56.83%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
21.79%
Under 3.5
78.18%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 4.5
12.2%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 4.5
87.8%
▲
(+0.02)
First Half Winner
Universitario
39.34%
Draw
42.48%
Nacional
18.18%
Team To Score First
Universitario
63.11%
No Goal
8.99%
Nacional
27.9%
Corners
Over 8
47.71%
Equal 8
11.96%
Under 8
40.33%
Over 9
36.44%
Equal 9
11.27%
Under 9
52.29%
Over 10.5
26.67%
Under 10.5
73.33%
Universitario Goals
Over 1.5
43.23%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 1.5
56.77%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 2.5
19.43%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 2.5
80.57%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 3.5
6.95%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
93.05%
▲
(+0.04)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5
55.71%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 0.5
44.29%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
21.41%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
78.59%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 2.5
5.57%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 2.5
94.43%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 3.5
1.36%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
98.64%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
Universitario
51.1%
Draw
25.5%
Nacional
23.39%
Universitario
1-0
@
13.19%
▼
(-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.85% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.15% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 6.94% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 51.1%
2-0 @ 9.85% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.15% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 6.94% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 51.1%
Draw
1-1
@
12.22%
0-0 @ 8.99%
2-2 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.5%
0-0 @ 8.99%
2-2 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.5%
Nacional
0-1
@
8.63%
▲
(+0.03)
1-2 @ 5.73% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 23.39%
1-2 @ 5.73% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 23.39%