Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitario win with a probability of 53.68%. A draw had a probability of 25.06% and a win for Coquimbo Unido had a probability of 21.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universitario win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%) , while for a Coquimbo Unido win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.