Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Tolima win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for Coquimbo Unido had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Tolima win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Coquimbo Unido win was 0-1 (8.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.