Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albion win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-2 (8.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.