Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 14
May 4, 2026 12.00am
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Centenario
  • Álvaro López 8' yellowcard
  • Carlos Airala 17' goal
  • Álvaro López 43' goal
  • Tobías Figueroa 62' yellowcard
  • Federico Puente 62' yellowcard
  • Matías De los Santos 62' yellowcard
  • Briam Acosta 75' yellowcard
  • Pablo Alcoba 87' yellowcard
  • goal Juan Cruz de los Santos 31'
  • yellowcard Baltasar Barcia 46'
  • yellowcard Maxi Gómez 46'
  • yellowcard Agustín Rogel 46'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Carneiro 62'
  • goal Agustín Rogel 79'
  • yellowcard Bruno Arady  79'

Albion vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Albion

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 7.30pm
Maldonado 1 - 2 Albion

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 11.00pm
Nacional 1 - 2 Danubio

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albion win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-2 (8.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result

Albion 37.66% (+0.30)
Draw 27.62% (-0.04)
Nacional 34.72% (-0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.12% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.2% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 24.8% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 51.22% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 48.78% (-0.20)
Over 3.5 28.43% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 71.57% (-0.21)
Over 4.5 15.52% (+0.14)
Under 4.5 84.48% (-0.15)

First Half Winner

Albion 24.58%
Draw 46.43%
Nacional 28.98%

Team To Score First

Albion 42.32% (+0.03)
No Goal 7.5% (-0.05)
Nacional 50.18% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 55%
Equal 8 11.6%
Under 8 33.4%
Over 9 43.44%
Equal 9 11.56%
Under 9 45%
Over 10.5 32.84%
Under 10.5 67.16%

Albion Goals

Over 1.5 38.34% (+0.34)
Under 1.5 61.66% (-0.34)
Over 2.5 15.87% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 84.13% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 5.54% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 94.46% (-0.14)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 69.42% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 30.58% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 35.97% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 64.03% (+0.14)
Over 2.5 13.81% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 86.19% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 4.36% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.64% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Albion 37.65%
Draw 27.61%
Nacional 34.73%
Albion
1-0 @ 8.87% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.59% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.86% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.61% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.09% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.38% (+0.03)
Other @ 5.25% (+0.13)
Total : 37.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.83% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 7.5% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.74% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.25% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 27.61%
Nacional
1-2 @ 8.74% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 8.42% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 5.3% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.36% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.28%
Other @ 4.07% (-0.02)
Total : 34.73%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 13
Oct 13, 2022 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Luis Suarez 88'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 13
May 21, 2022 9.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Nicolas Marichal 24' yellowcard
  • Alfonso Trezza 32' redcard
  • Alex Castro 53' yellowcard
  • Yonatan Rodriguez 70' goal
  • Yonatan Rodriguez 71' yellowcard
  • Diego Zabala 79' goal
  • Pablo Repetto 83' redcard
  • yellowcard Santiago Correa 21'
  • yellowcard Federico Platero 39'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Ancheta 84'