Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 50.95%. A draw had a probability of 27.44% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 21.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.03%) , while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (9.16%).