Gremio
Brasileiro | Gameweek 21
Nov 14, 2020 at 10pm UK
Estádio Olímpico Monumental
Ceara

Gremio
4 - 2
Ceara

Pyerre (20'), Pepe (33'), Souza (40'), Churin (70')
Braz (87')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Kelvyn (37'), Tiago (90+1')
Naressi (83'), Jacare (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 59.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 16.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.59%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.

Result
GremioDrawCeara
59.74%24.05%16.21%
Both teams to score 42.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.02%56.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.12%77.88%
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.1%18.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.62%50.38%
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.98%48.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.75%83.25%
Score Analysis
    Gremio 59.73%
    Ceara 16.21%
    Draw 24.05%
GremioDrawCeara
1-0 @ 15.11%
2-0 @ 12.59%
2-1 @ 9.24%
3-0 @ 7%
3-1 @ 5.13%
4-0 @ 2.91%
4-1 @ 2.14%
3-2 @ 1.88%
5-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 59.73%
1-1 @ 11.09%
0-0 @ 9.07%
2-2 @ 3.39%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 24.05%
0-1 @ 6.66%
1-2 @ 4.07%
0-2 @ 2.44%
1-3 @ 1%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 16.21%