Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.99%) and 1-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 1-0 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fluminense | Draw | Sao Paulo |
| 30.45% | 29.17% | 40.38% |
| Both teams to score 43.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.98% | 63.02% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.52% | 82.48% |
| Fluminense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.76% | 37.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.98% | 74.02% |
| Sao Paulo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.4% | 30.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.17% | 66.83% |
| Score Analysis |
Fluminense 30.45%
Sao Paulo 40.37%
Draw 29.15%
| Fluminense | Draw | Sao Paulo |
| 1-0 @ 11.25% 2-1 @ 6.58% 2-0 @ 5.56% 3-1 @ 2.17% 3-0 @ 1.83% 3-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.77% Total : 30.45% | 1-1 @ 13.32% 0-0 @ 11.39% 2-2 @ 3.9% Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.15% | 0-1 @ 13.49% 0-2 @ 7.99% 1-2 @ 7.89% 0-3 @ 3.15% 1-3 @ 3.12% 2-3 @ 1.54% 0-4 @ 0.93% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.34% Total : 40.37% |
How you voted: Fluminense vs Sao Paulo
Fluminense
29.4%Draw
23.5%Sao Paulo
47.1%17


