Brasileiro Gameweek 17
May 24, 2026 1.00am
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Flamengo vs Palmeiras - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 11.30pm
Athletico PR 1 - 1 Flamengo
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Pedro

Palmeiras

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 1.00am
Palmeiras 1 - 1 Cruzeiro
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Jose Manuel Lopez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Flamengo win with a probability of 47.15%. A draw has a probability of 27.67% and a win for Palmeiras has a probability of 25.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.3%) , while for a Palmeiras win it is 0-1 (7.62%).

Result

Flamengo 47.15% (-0.60)
Draw 27.67% (+0.36)
Palmeiras 25.18% (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.87% (+0.24)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.56% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 27.44% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 46.83% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 53.17% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 24.49% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 75.51% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 12.83% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 87.17% (+0.16)

First Half Winner

Flamengo 36.13% (-1.68)
Draw 41.52% (+1.77)
Palmeiras 22.35% (-0.09)

Team To Score First

Flamengo 53.85% (-1.51)
No Goal 7.89% (+0.13)
Palmeiras 38.26% (+1.40)

Corners

Over 8 65.52% (+0.77)
Equal 8 10.76% (+0.01)
Under 8 23.72% (-0.79)
Over 9 53.84% (+0.70)
Equal 9 11.69% (+0.09)
Under 9 34.48% (-0.78)
Over 10.5 42.25% (+0.54)
Under 10.5 57.75% (-0.54)

Flamengo Goals

Over 1.5 43.28% (-0.50)
Under 1.5 56.72% (+0.50)
Over 2.5 18.18% (-0.31)
Under 2.5 81.82% (+0.30)
Over 3.5 6.09% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 93.91% (+0.18)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5 61.4% (+0.56)
Under 0.5 38.6% (-0.56)
Over 1.5 26.39% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 73.61% (-0.24)
Over 2.5 8.13% (+0.35)
Under 2.5 91.87% (-0.34)
Over 3.5 2.05% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 97.95% (-0.15)

Score analysis

Flamengo 47.16%
Draw 27.67%
Palmeiras 25.19%
Flamengo
1-0 @ 11.95% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 9.73% (+0.15)
2-0 @ 8.48% (-0.25)
3-0 @ 4.42% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 4.36% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.06)
Other @ 5.88% (-0.26)
Total : 47.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.3% (+0.16)
0-0 @ 7.89% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.21% (+0.08)
Total : 27.67%
Palmeiras
0-1 @ 7.62% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 6.68% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.94% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2% (+0.12)
2-3 @ 1.59% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.52% (+0.09)
Other @ 1.84% (+0.08)
Total : 25.19%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Nov 29, 2025 9.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Raphael Veiga 13' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Piquerez 56' yellowcard
  • Murilo Cerqueira 77' yellowcard
  • Mauricio 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Giorgian De Arrascaeta 25'
  • yellowcard Erick Pulgar 30'
  • yellowcard Jorginho 38'
  • goal Danilo 67'
Brasileiro
Oct 19, 2025 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 10
May 25, 2025 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Gustavo Gomez 19' yellowcard
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 89' yellowcard
  • Murilo Cerqueira 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Piquerez 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Agustin Rossi 17'
  • goal Giorgian De Arrascaeta 73'
  • goal Ayrton Lucas 87'
  • yellowcard Wallace Yan de Souza Barreto 90'
Brasileiro Gameweek 22
Aug 11, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Erick Pulgar 21' yellowcard
  • Giorgian De Arrascaeta 69' goal
  • yellowcard Anibal Moreno 14'
  • goal Jose Manuel Lopez 31'
  • yellowcard Murilo Cerqueira 42'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Gomez 51'
  • goal Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos 87'
  • redcard Murilo Cerqueira 90'+3'
Copa do Brasil
Aug 8, 2024 12.00am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Abel Ferreira 0' redcard
  • Abel Ferreira 0' redcard
  • Vitor de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis 7' goal
  • Vitor de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis 7' goal
  • yellowcard Tite 46'
  • yellowcard Tite 46'
  • yellowcard Allan Rodrigues de Souza 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Allan Rodrigues de Souza 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Pedro 62'
  • yellowcard Pedro 62'
  • yellowcard David Luiz 77'
  • yellowcard David Luiz 77'
Copa do Brasil
Aug 1, 2024 12.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Erick Pulgar 32' yellowcard
  • Erick Pulgar 32' yellowcard
  • Pedro 57' goal
  • Pedro 57' goal
  • Luiz Araujo 72' goal
  • Luiz Araujo 72' goal
  • yellowcard Raphael Veiga 34'
  • yellowcard Raphael Veiga 34'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Gomez 42'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Gomez 42'
  • yellowcard Vitor de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis 80'
  • yellowcard Vitor de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis 80'
  • yellowcard Lazaro 82'
  • yellowcard Lazaro 82'