Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 47.16%. A draw had a probability of 27.04% and a win for Palmeiras had a probability of 25.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%) , while for a Palmeiras win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.