Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.68%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Sporting Cristal win was 1-0 (9.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.