Copa Libertadores Gameweek 4
May 5, 2026 11.00pm

Sporting Cristal vs Palmeiras - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Cristal

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 29, 2026 3.00am
Cristal 2 - 0 Junior

Palmeiras

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 30, 2026 1.30am
Cerro Porteno 1 - 1 Palmeiras

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Palmeiras win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Sporting Cristal has a probability of 35.68% and a draw has a probability of 25.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.67%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Sporting Cristal win is 1-0 (9.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.08%).

Result

Sporting Cristal 35.68% (-1.29)
Draw 25.93% (+0.13)
Palmeiras 38.46% (+1.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.41% (-0.66)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.84% (+0.46)
Under 1.5 29.16% (-0.45)
Over 2.5 45.4% (+0.61)
Under 2.5 54.6% (-0.61)
Over 3.5 23.72% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 76.28% (-0.19)
Over 4.5 13.3% (+0.15)
Under 4.5 86.7% (-0.15)

First Half Winner

Sporting Cristal 34.33% (+0.02)
Draw 42.74% (+0.33)
Palmeiras 22.93% (-0.34)

Team To Score First

Sporting Cristal 53.42% (-1.47)
No Goal 8.61% (-0.17)
Palmeiras 37.97% (+1.63)

Corners

Over 8 58.18% (-0.83)
Equal 8 11.15% (-0.20)
Under 8 30.67% (+1.04)
Over 9 46.78% (-0.57)
Equal 9 11.4% (-0.28)
Under 9 41.82% (+0.85)
Over 10.5 36.07% (-0.25)
Under 10.5 63.93% (+0.25)

Sporting Cristal Goals

Over 1.5 32.99% (-0.68)
Under 1.5 67.01% (+0.69)
Over 2.5 13.7% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 86.3% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 4.51% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 95.49% (+0.25)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5 68.41% (+1.50)
Under 0.5 31.59% (-1.51)
Over 1.5 34.86% (+1.40)
Under 1.5 65.14% (-1.40)
Over 2.5 13.5% (+0.60)
Under 2.5 86.5% (-0.60)
Over 3.5 4.23% (+0.24)
Under 3.5 95.77% (-0.24)

Score analysis

Sporting Cristal 35.68%
Draw 25.94%
Palmeiras 38.47%
Sporting Cristal
1-0 @ 9.71% (-0.37)
2-1 @ 7.37% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.94% (-0.59)
3-1 @ 3.17% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 3.07% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.07% (+0.09)
Other @ 4.35% (-0.31)
Total : 35.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.08% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 8.61% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 4.21% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.16% (+0.05)
Total : 25.94%
Palmeiras
0-1 @ 10.93% (+0.13)
1-2 @ 7.67% (+0.27)
0-2 @ 7.41% (+0.37)
0-3 @ 3.57% (+0.22)
1-3 @ 3.05% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.77% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.07% (+0.19)
Total : 38.47%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 2
Apr 16, 2026 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Allianz Parque
  • Murilo 27' goal
  • Arthur Gabriel 70' yellowcard
  • Luighi 70' yellowcard
  • José Manuel López 80' yellowcard
  • Felipe Anderson 88' yellowcard
  • Lucas Evangelista 88' yellowcard
  • goal Juan Gonzalez 41'
  • yellowcard Santiago González 59'
  • yellowcard Felipe Vizeu 59'
  • yellowcard Maxloren Castro 59'
  • yellowcard Joao Stefhano Cuenca Melgar 70'
  • yellowcard Cristian Benavente 85'
  • yellowcard Mateo Rodríguez 85'
Copa Libertadores
May 29, 2025 1.30am
6
0
HT : 6 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Estevao Willian 32' goal
  • Estevao Willian 32' goal
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 39' goal
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 39' goal
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 39' yellowcard
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 39' yellowcard
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 45'+2' goal
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 45'+2' goal
  • Raphael Veiga 64' goal
  • Raphael Veiga 64' goal
  • Paulinho 71' goal
  • Paulinho 71' goal
  • Allan Andrade Elias 78' yellowcard
  • Allan Andrade Elias 78' yellowcard
  • Facundo Torres 80' goal
  • Facundo Torres 80' goal
  • yellowcard Martin Tavara 49'
  • yellowcard Martin Tavara 49'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Jesus Posito Olazabal 69'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Jesus Posito Olazabal 69'
  • yellowcard Axel Jair Cabellos Vazquez 78'
  • yellowcard Axel Jair Cabellos Vazquez 78'
Copa Libertadores
Apr 3, 2025 11.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Nacional de Lima
  • Jesus Pretell 12' yellowcard
  • Leandro Sosa 45' yellowcard
  • Jesus Pretell 67' goal
  • Catriel Cabellos 75' yellowcard
  • Martin Tavara 83' goal
  • goal Estevao Willian 38'
  • yellowcard Vitor Roque 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Martinez 57'
  • yellowcard Bruno Fuchs 61'
  • goal Joaquin Piquerez 82'
  • goal Richard Rios 90'+2'