Copa Libertadores Gameweek 4
May 5, 2026 11.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Felipe Vizeu 57' yellowcard
  • Gabriel 58' yellowcard
  • Juan Gonzalez 66' yellowcard
  • Catriel Cabellos 81' yellowcard
  • Ian Wisdom 81' yellowcard
  • goal José Manuel López 32'
  • goal Ramón Sosa 50'
  • yellowcard Felipe Anderson 73'
  • yellowcard Lucas Evangelista 73'
  • yellowcard Jefté 73'
  • yellowcard 81'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Martínez 81'
  • yellowcard Paulinho  89'

Sporting Cristal vs Palmeiras - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Cristal

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 29, 2026 3.00am
Cristal 2 - 0 Junior

Palmeiras

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 30, 2026 1.30am
Cerro Porteno 1 - 1 Palmeiras

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.68%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Sporting Cristal win was 1-0 (9.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result

Sporting Cristal 35.62% (-0.07)
Draw 25.93%
Palmeiras 38.42% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.42% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.76% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 29.24% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 45.44% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 54.56% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 23.77% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 76.23% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 13.34% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 86.66% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Sporting Cristal 34.29% (-0.04)
Draw 42.82% (+0.08)
Palmeiras 22.89% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Sporting Cristal 53.57% (+0.15)
No Goal 8.58% (-0.03)
Palmeiras 37.85% (-0.12)

Corners

Over 8 57.92% (-0.26)
Equal 8 11.21% (+0.07)
Under 8 30.87% (+0.20)
Over 9 46.49% (-0.29)
Equal 9 11.43% (+0.03)
Under 9 42.08% (+0.26)
Over 10.5 35.77% (-0.30)
Under 10.5 64.23% (+0.31)

Sporting Cristal Goals

Over 1.5 33.01% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 66.99% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 13.75% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 86.25% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 4.54% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 95.46% (-0.04)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5 68.34% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 31.66% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 34.88% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 65.12% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 13.5%
Under 2.5 86.5%
Over 3.5 4.24% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.76% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Sporting Cristal 35.63%
Draw 25.93%
Palmeiras 38.41%
Sporting Cristal
1-0 @ 9.7% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.35% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.91% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.15% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.08% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.08% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.36% (+0.02)
Total : 35.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.03% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 8.58% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.24% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.18% (+0.02)
Total : 25.93%
Palmeiras
0-1 @ 10.93%
1-2 @ 7.68% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.38% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 3.56% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.04% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.06% (-0.02)
Total : 38.41%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 2
Apr 16, 2026 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Allianz Parque
  • Murilo 27' goal
  • Arthur Gabriel 70' yellowcard
  • Luighi 70' yellowcard
  • José Manuel López 80' yellowcard
  • Felipe Anderson 88' yellowcard
  • Lucas Evangelista 88' yellowcard
  • goal Juan Gonzalez 41'
  • yellowcard Santiago González 59'
  • yellowcard Felipe Vizeu 59'
  • yellowcard Maxloren Castro 59'
  • yellowcard Joao Stefhano Cuenca Melgar 70'
  • yellowcard Cristian Benavente 85'
  • yellowcard Mateo Rodríguez 85'
Copa Libertadores
May 29, 2025 1.30am
6
0
HT : 6 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Estevao Willian 32' goal
  • Estevao Willian 32' goal
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 39' goal
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 39' goal
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 39' yellowcard
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 39' yellowcard
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 45'+2' goal
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 45'+2' goal
  • Raphael Veiga 64' goal
  • Raphael Veiga 64' goal
  • Paulinho 71' goal
  • Paulinho 71' goal
  • Allan Andrade Elias 78' yellowcard
  • Allan Andrade Elias 78' yellowcard
  • Facundo Torres 80' goal
  • Facundo Torres 80' goal
  • yellowcard Martin Tavara 49'
  • yellowcard Martin Tavara 49'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Jesus Posito Olazabal 69'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Jesus Posito Olazabal 69'
  • yellowcard Axel Jair Cabellos Vazquez 78'
  • yellowcard Axel Jair Cabellos Vazquez 78'
Copa Libertadores
Apr 3, 2025 11.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Nacional de Lima
  • Jesus Pretell 12' yellowcard
  • Leandro Sosa 45' yellowcard
  • Jesus Pretell 67' goal
  • Catriel Cabellos 75' yellowcard
  • Martin Tavara 83' goal
  • goal Estevao Willian 38'
  • yellowcard Vitor Roque 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Martinez 57'
  • yellowcard Bruno Fuchs 61'
  • goal Joaquin Piquerez 82'
  • goal Richard Rios 90'+2'