Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Cristal win with a probability of 46.97%. A win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Cristal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Atletico Junior win was 0-1 (8.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.