Copa Libertadores Gameweek 3
Apr 29, 2026 3.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nacional de Lima
  • Martín Távara 46' yellowcard
  • Santiago González 53' goal
  • Gabriel 63' yellowcard
  • Felipe Vizeu 63' yellowcard
  • Juan Gonzalez 73' yellowcard
  • Juan Gonzalez 74' yellowcard
  • Catriel Cabellos 87' yellowcard
  • Catriel Cabellos 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Cristian Barrios 57'
  • yellowcard Yimmi Chará  57'
  • yellowcard Luis Muriel 57'
  • yellowcard Teófilo Gutiérrez 58'
  • yellowcard Yimmi Chará  58'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Paiva 69'
  • yellowcard Bryan Castrillón 85'

Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Junior - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Cristal

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 16, 2026 11.00pm
Palmeiras 2 - 1 Cristal

Atletico Junior

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 14, 2026 11.00pm
Cerro Porteno 1 - 0 Junior

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Cristal win with a probability of 46.97%. A win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Cristal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Atletico Junior win was 0-1 (8.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result

Sporting Cristal 46.97% (-8.00)
Draw 24.56% (+1.83)
Atletico Junior 28.47% (+6.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.75% (-0.68)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.36% (-2.61)
Under 1.5 26.64% (+2.61)
Over 2.5 48.61% (-3.35)
Under 2.5 51.38% (+3.34)
Over 3.5 26.17% (-2.80)
Under 3.5 73.83% (+2.80)
Over 4.5 14.68% (-2.36)
Under 4.5 85.32% (+2.36)

First Half Winner

Sporting Cristal 45.3%
Draw 39.21%
Atletico Junior 15.49%

Team To Score First

Sporting Cristal 66.89% (-0.74)
No Goal 7.2% (+1.04)
Atletico Junior 25.91% (-0.29)

Corners

Over 8 54.3%
Equal 8 12.34%
Under 8 33.36%
Over 9 42.05%
Equal 9 12.25%
Under 9 45.7%
Over 10.5 30.96%
Under 10.5 69.04%

Sporting Cristal Goals

Over 1.5 42.97% (-7.57)
Under 1.5 57.03% (+7.57)
Over 2.5 19.1% (-5.52)
Under 2.5 80.9% (+5.53)
Over 3.5 6.81% (-2.78)
Under 3.5 93.19% (+2.79)

Atletico Junior Goals

Over 0.5 62.08% (+5.00)
Under 0.5 37.92% (-5.00)
Over 1.5 28.41% (+3.99)
Under 1.5 71.59% (-3.99)
Over 2.5 9.58% (+1.87)
Under 2.5 90.42% (-1.86)
Over 3.5 2.73% (+0.61)
Under 3.5 97.27% (-0.61)

Score analysis

Sporting Cristal 46.96%
Draw 24.57%
Atletico Junior 28.48%
Sporting Cristal
1-0 @ 11.22% (-0.29)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.72)
2-0 @ 8.14% (-1.51)
3-0 @ 4.57% (-1.42)
3-1 @ 4.31% (-1.00)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.30)
Other @ 6.8% (-2.78)
Total : 46.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.88% (+0.82)
0-0 @ 7.2% (+1.04)
2-2 @ 4.74% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.57%
Atletico Junior
0-1 @ 8.23% (+1.91)
1-2 @ 6.71% (+0.98)
0-2 @ 4.71% (+1.40)
1-3 @ 2.45% (+0.54)
0-3 @ 1.92% (+0.62)
2-3 @ 1.74% (+0.14)
Other @ 2.72% (+0.62)
Total : 28.48%