Copa Libertadores Gameweek 5
May 21, 2026 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Mauricio 59' yellowcard
  • Paulinho  71' yellowcard
  • Lucas Evangelista 85' yellowcard
  • Luighi 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Guillermo Benitez 46'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Torres 46'
  • goal Pablo Vegetti 48'
  • yellowcard Cesar David Bobadilla Recalde 62'
  • yellowcard Juan Iturbe 73'

Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 5, 2026 11.00pm
Cristal 0 - 2 Palmeiras

Cerro Porteno

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 8, 2026 3.00am
Junior 0 - 1 Cerro Porteno

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 61.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.33% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 16.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%) , while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result

Palmeiras 61.14% (+4.57)
Draw 22.33% (-2.27)
Cerro Porteno 16.47% (-2.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.42% (+1.52)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.63% (+3.34)
Under 1.5 26.37% (-3.34)
Over 2.5 48.99% (+4.64)
Under 2.5 51.01% (-4.60)
Over 3.5 26.65% (+4.63)
Under 3.5 73.35% (-4.64)
Over 4.5 16.77% (+4.02)
Under 4.5 83.23% (-4.02)

First Half Winner

Palmeiras 37.75% (+0.26)
Draw 43.32% (-0.15)
Cerro Porteno 18.93% (-0.11)

Team To Score First

Palmeiras 59.16% (+0.86)
No Goal 7.47% (-1.25)
Cerro Porteno 33.37% (+0.38)

Corners

Over 8 33.24% (-25.40)
Equal 8 10.08% (-1.26)
Under 8 56.68% (+26.67)
Over 9 24.78% (-22.24)
Equal 9 8.45% (-3.19)
Under 9 66.76% (+25.41)
Over 10.5 18.19% (-17.89)
Under 10.5 81.81% (+17.89)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 1.5 53.33% (+5.74)
Under 1.5 46.67% (-5.74)
Over 2.5 27.61% (+5.81)
Under 2.5 72.39% (-5.80)
Over 3.5 12.02% (+3.92)
Under 3.5 87.98% (-3.93)

Cerro Porteno Goals

Over 0.5 48.24% (-2.42)
Under 0.5 51.76% (+2.42)
Over 1.5 17.07% (-1.17)
Under 1.5 82.93% (+1.18)
Over 2.5 4.7% (-0.50)
Under 2.5 95.3% (+0.50)
Over 3.5 1% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 99% (+0.13)

Score analysis

Palmeiras 61.14%
Draw 22.34%
Cerro Porteno 16.47%
Palmeiras
1-0 @ 13.08% (-1.23)
2-0 @ 11.77% (+0.08)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 7.47% (+0.86)
3-1 @ 5.33% (+0.75)
3-2 @ 2.16% (+0.25)
Other @ 11.92% (+3.93)
Total : 61.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.66% (-1.03)
0-0 @ 7.47% (-1.25)
2-2 @ 3.48%
Other @ 0.1% (-0.01)
Total : 22.34%
Cerro Porteno
0-1 @ 5.77% (-0.91)
1-2 @ 4.53% (-0.57)
0-2 @ 2.2% (-0.34)
1-3 @ 1.08% (-0.13)
2-3 @ 1.06% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.9% (-0.11)
Total : 16.47%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 3
Apr 30, 2026 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio General Pablo Rojas
  • Mateo Klimowicz 46' yellowcard
  • Juan Iturbe 68' yellowcard
  • Carlos Miguel 72' goal
  • Fabrizio Peralta 77' yellowcard
  • Cesar David Bobadilla Recalde 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Melgarejo 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Jhon Arias 33'
  • yellowcard Mauricio 79'
  • yellowcard Lucas Evangelista 84'
  • yellowcard Khellven 84'
  • yellowcard Felipe Anderson 88'
  • yellowcard Jefté 88'
Copa Libertadores
May 8, 2025 1.30am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio General Pablo Rojas
  • Wilder Viera 82' yellowcard
  • Wilder Viera 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bruno Fuchs 21'
  • yellowcard Bruno Fuchs 21'
  • yellowcard Lucas Evangelista 23'
  • yellowcard Lucas Evangelista 23'
  • goal Estevao Willian 41'
  • goal Estevao Willian 41'
  • yellowcard Richard Rios 74'
  • yellowcard Richard Rios 74'
  • goal Vitor Roque 90'+4'
  • goal Vitor Roque 90'+4'
Copa Libertadores
Apr 10, 2025 1.30am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Richard Rios 41' goal
  • Richard Rios 41' goal
  • yellowcard Robert Piris 70'
  • yellowcard Robert Piris 70'
  • yellowcard Jorge Morel 84'
  • yellowcard Jorge Morel 84'
Copa Libertadores
May 24, 2023 11.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Artur 25'
  • goal Artur 58'
  • goal Rony 68'
Copa Libertadores
Apr 21, 2023 1.00am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Allianz Parque
  • Gustavo Gomez 64' goal
  • Rafael Navarro 76' goal
  • goal Damian Bobadilla 5'
Copa Libertadores
Jul 6, 2022 11.15pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Braian Samudio 37' goal
  • Gabriel Menino 40' yellowcard
  • Danilo 52' yellowcard
  • Rony 59' yellowcard
  • Rony 73' goal
  • Breno Lopes 75' goal
  • Gustavo Gomez 78' goal
  • Rony 83' goal
  • yellowcard Juan Patino 46'
  • yellowcard Alberto Espinola 83'