Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 61.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.33% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 16.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%) , while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.