Brasileiro Gameweek 16
May 17, 2026 1.00am
Allianz Parque

Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 9.40pm
Remo 1 - 1 Palmeiras
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Jose Manuel Lopez

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 1.00am
Bahia 1 - 2 Cruzeiro
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Christian

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Palmeiras win with a probability of 54.47%. A draw has a probability of 25.14% and a win for Cruzeiro has a probability of 20.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.19%) , while for a Cruzeiro win it is 0-1 (7.18%).

Result

Palmeiras 54.47% (-1.40)
Draw 25.14% (+0.22)
Cruzeiro 20.36% (+1.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.97% (+0.83)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.35% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 28.65% (-0.14)
Over 2.5 45.45% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 54.55% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 23.58% (+0.24)
Under 3.5 76.42% (-0.24)
Over 4.5 12.93% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 87.07% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Palmeiras 41.75% (-0.14)
Draw 41.19% (+0.08)
Cruzeiro 17.05% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Palmeiras 59.36% (+0.11)
No Goal 8.09% (-0.09)
Cruzeiro 32.55% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 61.36% (+0.08)
Equal 8 11.32% (-0.01)
Under 8 27.32% (-0.06)
Over 9 49.48% (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.88%
Under 9 38.64% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 38.08% (+0.08)
Under 10.5 61.92% (-0.08)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 1.5 47.32% (-0.76)
Under 1.5 52.68% (+0.76)
Over 2.5 20.96% (-0.54)
Under 2.5 79.04% (+0.55)
Over 3.5 7.37% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 92.63% (+0.27)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5 55.02% (+1.37)
Under 0.5 44.98% (-1.37)
Over 1.5 20.46% (+1.09)
Under 1.5 79.54% (-1.08)
Over 2.5 5.57% (+0.44)
Under 2.5 94.43% (-0.43)
Over 3.5 1.13% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 98.87% (-0.12)

Score analysis

Palmeiras 54.47%
Draw 25.14%
Cruzeiro 20.36%
Palmeiras
1-0 @ 13.35% (-0.38)
2-0 @ 10.68% (-0.47)
2-1 @ 10.17% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.47% (-0.30)
3-1 @ 5.02% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.42% (+0.05)
Other @ 7.36% (-0.27)
Total : 54.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.19% (+0.12)
0-0 @ 8.09% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.17% (+0.16)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.14%
Cruzeiro
0-1 @ 7.18% (+0.21)
1-2 @ 5.27% (+0.24)
0-2 @ 3.03% (+0.21)
1-3 @ 1.45% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 1.34% (+0.09)
Other @ 1.12% (+0.13)
Total : 20.36%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Oct 26, 2025 11.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 11
Jun 1, 2025 11.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Kaio Jorge 2' goal
  • Kaio Jorge 4' goal
  • Kaiki Bruno 43' yellowcard
  • Christian 47' yellowcard
  • Carlos Eduardo 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Richard Rios 13'
  • yellowcard Estevao Willian 68'
  • yellowcard Vitor Roque 84'
  • goal Allan Andrade Elias 87'
Brasileiro Gameweek 37
Dec 5, 2024 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Matheus Pereira 52' goal
  • Matheus Pereira 52' goal
  • Marlon 56' yellowcard
  • Marlon 56' yellowcard
  • Ze Ivaldo 68' yellowcard
  • Ze Ivaldo 68' yellowcard
  • Anderson Paixao 71' yellowcard
  • Anderson Paixao 71' yellowcard
  • goal Mauricio 61'
  • goal Mauricio 61'
  • yellowcard Vitor de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis 85'
  • yellowcard Vitor de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis 85'
  • goal Estevao Willian 90'
  • goal Estevao Willian 90'
Brasileiro Gameweek 18
Jul 21, 2024 1.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 36' goal
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 36' goal
  • Abel Ferreira 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Abel Ferreira 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 59' yellowcard
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 59' yellowcard
  • Raphael Veiga 61' yellowcard
  • Raphael Veiga 61' yellowcard
  • Ze Rafael 69' yellowcard
  • Ze Rafael 69' yellowcard
  • Mauricio 76' yellowcard
  • Mauricio 76' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Menino 90'+2' goal
  • Gabriel Menino 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Alvaro Barreal 38'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Barreal 38'
  • yellowcard Lucas Romero 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Lucas Romero 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Matheus Pereira 69'
  • yellowcard Matheus Pereira 69'
  • yellowcard Joao Marcelo 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Joao Marcelo 90'+3'
Brasileiro Gameweek 38
Dec 7, 2023 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Lucas Silva 72' yellowcard
  • Lucas Silva 72' yellowcard
  • Nikao 80' goal
  • Nikao 80' goal
  • goal Endrick 21'
  • goal Endrick 21'
  • yellowcard Richard Rios 64'
  • yellowcard Richard Rios 64'
Brasileiro Gameweek 19
Aug 14, 2023 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Gustavo Gomez 35' yellowcard
  • Vanderlan 90' yellowcard
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Matheus Jussa 64'
  • yellowcard Gilberto 81'
  • yellowcard Helibelton Palacios 90'+5'