Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 51.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.36% and a win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 23.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%) , while for a Cruzeiro win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.