Brasileiro Gameweek 16
Palmeiras
May 17, 2026 1.00am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Allianz Parque
Cruzeiro
  • Mauricio 17' yellowcard
  • Felipe Anderson 20' goal
  • Lucas Evangelista 44' yellowcard
  • Paulinho  77' yellowcard
  • Khellven 77' yellowcard
  • 77' yellowcard
  • Jefté 77' yellowcard
  • goal Keny Arroyo 11'
  • yellowcard Kaique Kenji 75'
  • yellowcard Luis Sinisterra  89'
  • yellowcard Lucas Silva  90'

Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 9.40pm
Remo 1 - 1 Palmeiras
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
José Manuel López

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 1.00am
Bahia 1 - 2 Cruzeiro
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Matheus Pereira

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 51.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.36% and a win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 23.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%) , while for a Cruzeiro win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result

Palmeiras 51.6% ▼ (-2.82)
Draw 25.36% ▲ (+0.22)
Cruzeiro 23.04% ▲ (+2.57)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.41% ▲ (+3.38)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.57% ▲ (+2.13)
Under 1.5 26.43% ▼ (-2.13)
Over 2.5 48.36% ▲ (+2.84)
Under 2.5 51.64% ▼ (-2.84)
Over 3.5 26.63% ▲ (+2.99)
Under 3.5 73.37% ▼ (-2.99)
Over 4.5 14.8% ▲ (+1.83)
Under 4.5 85.2% ▼ (-1.83)

First Half Winner

Palmeiras 41.89% ▲ (+0.05)
Draw 40.24% ▼ (-0.91)
Cruzeiro 17.87% ▲ (+0.86)

Team To Score First

Palmeiras 58.47% ▼ (-0.90)
No Goal 7.32% ▼ (-0.75)
Cruzeiro 34.21% ▲ (+1.65)

Corners

Over 8 33.24% ▼ (-28.10)
Equal 8 10.08% ▼ (-1.25)
Under 8 56.68% ▲ (+29.35)
Over 9 24.78% ▼ (-24.67)
Equal 9 8.45% ▼ (-3.45)
Under 9 66.76% ▲ (+28.11)
Over 10.5 18.19% ▼ (-19.85)
Under 10.5 81.81% ▲ (+19.86)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 1.5 47.26% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 52.74% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 21.05% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 78.95% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 7.7% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 3.5 92.3% ▼ (-0.33)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5 58.67% ▲ (+3.50)
Under 0.5 41.33% ▼ (-3.50)
Over 1.5 24.52% ▲ (+3.95)
Under 1.5 75.48% ▼ (-3.94)
Over 2.5 7.71% ▲ (+2.08)
Under 2.5 92.29% ▼ (-2.08)
Over 3.5 1.97% ▲ (+0.82)
Under 3.5 98.03% ▼ (-0.82)

Score analysis

Palmeiras 51.59%
Draw 25.36%
Cruzeiro 23.04%
Palmeiras
1-0 @ 11.97% ▼ (-1.36)
2-1 @ 9.93% ▼ (-0.25)
2-0 @ 9.72% ▼ (-0.94)
3-1 @ 5.02%
3-0 @ 4.74% ▼ (-0.71)
3-2 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.21)
Other @ 7.57% ▲ (+0.21)
Total : 51.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.07% ▼ (-0.13)
0-0 @ 7.32% ▼ (-0.75)
2-2 @ 4.89% ▲ (+0.71)
Other @ 0.13% ▲ (+0.13)
Total : 25.36%
Cruzeiro
0-1 @ 7.13% ▼ (-0.08)
1-2 @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.56)
0-2 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.39)
1-3 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.45)
2-3 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.32)
0-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.71)
Total : 23.04%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Palmeiras
Oct 26, 2025 11.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Parque
Cruzeiro
  • Gustavo Gómez  15' yellowcard
  • 15' yellowcard
  • Khellven 33' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabrício Bruno 17'
  • yellowcard Lucas Romero 34'
  • yellowcard Lucas Villalba 37'
  • redcard Fabrício Bruno 71'
  • yellowcard Kaiki 85'
  • yellowcard Lucas Silva  90'+7'
Brasileiro Gameweek 11
Cruzeiro
Jun 1, 2025 11.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
Palmeiras
  • Kaio Jorge 2' goal
  • Kaio Jorge 4' goal
  • Kaiki Bruno 43' yellowcard
  • Christian 47' yellowcard
  • Carlos Eduardo 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Richard Rios 13'
  • yellowcard Estevao Willian 68'
  • yellowcard Vitor Roque 84'
  • goal Allan Andrade Elias 87'
Brasileiro Gameweek 37
Cruzeiro
Dec 5, 2024 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
Palmeiras
  • Matheus Pereira 52' goal
  • Matheus Pereira 52' goal
  • Marlon 56' yellowcard
  • Marlon 56' yellowcard
  • Ze Ivaldo 68' yellowcard
  • Ze Ivaldo 68' yellowcard
  • Anderson Paixao 71' yellowcard
  • Anderson Paixao 71' yellowcard
  • goal Mauricio 61'
  • goal Mauricio 61'
  • yellowcard Vitor de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis 85'
  • yellowcard Vitor de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis 85'
  • goal Estevao Willian 90'
  • goal Estevao Willian 90'
Brasileiro Gameweek 18
Palmeiras
Jul 21, 2024 1.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Parque
Cruzeiro
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 36' goal
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 36' goal
  • Abel Ferreira 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Abel Ferreira 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 59' yellowcard
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 59' yellowcard
  • Raphael Veiga 61' yellowcard
  • Raphael Veiga 61' yellowcard
  • Ze Rafael 69' yellowcard
  • Ze Rafael 69' yellowcard
  • Mauricio 76' yellowcard
  • Mauricio 76' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Menino 90'+2' goal
  • Gabriel Menino 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Alvaro Barreal 38'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Barreal 38'
  • yellowcard Lucas Romero 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Lucas Romero 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Matheus Pereira 69'
  • yellowcard Matheus Pereira 69'
  • yellowcard Joao Marcelo 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Joao Marcelo 90'+3'
Brasileiro Gameweek 38
Cruzeiro
Dec 7, 2023 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
Palmeiras
  • Lucas Silva 72' yellowcard
  • Lucas Silva 72' yellowcard
  • Nikao 80' goal
  • Nikao 80' goal
  • goal Endrick 21'
  • goal Endrick 21'
  • yellowcard Richard Rios 64'
  • yellowcard Richard Rios 64'
Brasileiro Gameweek 19
Palmeiras
Aug 14, 2023 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Parque
Cruzeiro
  • Gustavo Gomez 35' yellowcard
  • Vanderlan 90' yellowcard
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Matheus Jussa 64'
  • yellowcard Gilberto 81'
  • yellowcard Helibelton Palacios 90'+5'

Form Data

Jacuipense 1 - 4 Palmeiras
Remo 1 - 1 Palmeiras
Cristal 0 - 2 Palmeiras
Palmeiras 1 - 1 Santos
Cerro Porteno 1 - 1 Palmeiras
Bragantino 0 - 1 Palmeiras
Cruzeiro 1 - 0 Goias
Bahia 1 - 2 Cruzeiro
Catolica 0 - 0 Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro 1 - 3 Atletico Mineiro
Cruzeiro 1 - 0 Boca Juniors
Remo 0 - 1 Cruzeiro