Brasileiro Gameweek 16
Athletico PR
May 17, 2026 11.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Arena de Baixada
Flamengo
  • Stiven Mendoza 11' goal
  • Claudio 28' yellowcard
  • João Cruz 65' yellowcard
  • Gilberto Junior 65' yellowcard
  • Gilberto Júnior Leite dos Santos 65' yellowcard
  • Gilberto Junior 66' yellowcard
  • Renan Peixoto 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Everton 59'
  • yellowcard Bruno Henrique  59'
  • yellowcard Emerson Royal 82'
  • goal Pedro 84'
  • yellowcard Vitão 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Ayrton Lucas 90'+3'

Athletico Paranaense vs Flamengo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Last game
May 11, 2026 12.30am
Vasco 1 - 0 Athletico PR
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Kevin Viveros

Flamengo

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 11.30pm
Gremio 0 - 1 Flamengo
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Pedro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 29.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 (10.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (14.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood.

Result

Athletico Paranaense 31.85% ▲ (+0.30)
Draw 29.93% ▲ (+0.26)
Flamengo 38.22% ▼ (-0.56)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.06% ▲ (+0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.51% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 1.5 33.49% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 2.5 39.65% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 2.5 60.35% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 3.5 19.46% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 3.5 80.54% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 4.5 9.52% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 4.5 90.48% ▼ (-0.13)

First Half Winner

Athletico Paranaense 28.48% ▲ (+0.68)
Draw 46.55% ▼ (-0.67)
Flamengo 24.97% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Athletico Paranaense 46.63% ▲ (+1.43)
No Goal 10.59% ▼ (-0.05)
Flamengo 42.78% ▼ (-1.38)

Corners

Over 8 55.56% ▲ (+1.47)
Equal 8 11.81% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 8 32.63% ▼ (-1.33)
Over 9 43.73% ▲ (+1.46)
Equal 9 11.83%
Under 9 44.44% ▼ (-1.47)
Over 10.5 32.86% ▲ (+1.33)
Under 10.5 67.14% ▼ (-1.33)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 1.5 27.92% ▲ (+0.52)
Under 1.5 72.08% ▼ (-0.52)
Over 2.5 8.69% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 2.5 91.31% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 3.5 2.28% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 3.5 97.72% ▼ (-0.18)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5 68.58% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 0.5 31.42% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 1.5 32.64% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 1.5 67.36% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 2.5 12.18% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 87.82% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 3.49% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 96.51% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Athletico Paranaense 31.84%
Draw 29.93%
Flamengo 38.21%
Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 10.87% ▼ (-0.12)
2-1 @ 7.32% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.8% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.13)
Total : 31.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 14.23% ▲ (+0.14)
0-0 @ 10.59% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 0.13% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 29.93%
Flamengo
0-1 @ 12.01% ▼ (-0.09)
1-2 @ 8.02% ▼ (-0.14)
0-2 @ 6.84% ▼ (-0.17)
1-3 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 38.21%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 28
Flamengo
Sep 30, 2024 12.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Athletico PR
  • Gabriel Barbosa 27' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Barbosa 27' yellowcard
  • David Luiz 36' yellowcard
  • David Luiz 36' yellowcard
  • Gerson 90' goal
  • Gerson 90' goal
  • yellowcard Mateo Gamarra 27'
  • yellowcard Mateo Gamarra 27'
  • yellowcard Christian 79'
  • yellowcard Christian 79'
Brasileiro Gameweek 9
Athletico PR
Jun 16, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Arena de Baixada
Flamengo
  • Fernandinho 90'+2' goal
  • Pablo 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Bruno Zapelli 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Cuca 90'+10' redcard
  • Madson 90'+11' yellowcard
  • Alexi Stival 90'+12' redcard
  • Leo Linck 90'+12' yellowcard
  • Mycael Pontes Moreira 90'+13' redcard
  • yellowcard Victor Hugo 50'
  • yellowcard Evertton Gustavo Fernandes Araujo 87'
  • yellowcard Fabricio Bruno 90'+8'
  • goal Evertton Gustavo Fernandes Araujo 90'+9'
Brasileiro Gameweek 23
Flamengo
Sep 14, 2023 1.30am
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Athletico PR
  • Wesley 30' yellowcard
  • Jorge Sampaoli 31' yellowcard
  • Everton Ribeiro 52' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Barbosa 67' redcard
  • goal Caca 27'
  • yellowcard Hugo Moura 58'
  • yellowcard Alex Santana 71'
  • goal Alex Santana 84'
  • goal Vitor Bueno 90'+7'
Copa do Brasil
Athletico PR
Jul 13, 2023 1.30am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Alinja Arena
Flamengo
  • goal Erick 45' (OG)
  • goal Erick 45' (OG)
  • goal Gabriel Barbosa 90'+3'
  • goal Gabriel Barbosa 90'+3'
Copa do Brasil
Flamengo
Jul 6, 2023 1.30am
2
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Nilton Santos
Athletico PR
  • Pedro 55' goal
  • Pedro 55' goal
  • Bruno Henrique 71' goal
  • Bruno Henrique 71' goal
  • goal Agustin Canobbio 6'
  • goal Agustin Canobbio 6'
Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Athletico PR
May 7, 2023 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Arena de Baixada
Flamengo
  • Vitor Roque 29' goal
  • Erick 80' goal
  • goal Gabriel Barbosa 15'

Form Data

Atletico GO 0 - 0 Athletico PR
Vasco 1 - 0 Athletico PR
Athletico PR 0 - 0 Gremio
Athletico PR 3 - 1 Vitoria
Athletico PR 0 - 0 Atletico GO
Palmeiras 1 - 0 Athletico PR
Vitoria 2 - 0 Flamengo
Gremio 0 - 1 Flamengo
Medellin 0 - 0 Flamengo
Flamengo 2 - 2 Vasco
Estudiantes 1 - 1 Flamengo
Atletico Mineiro 0 - 4 Flamengo