Brasileiro Gameweek 16
Athletico PR
May 17, 2026 11.30pm
Arena de Baixada
Flamengo

Athletico Paranaense vs Flamengo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Last game
May 11, 2026 12.30am
Vasco 1 - 0 Athletico PR
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Kevin Viveros

Flamengo

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 11.30pm
Gremio 0 - 1 Flamengo
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Pedro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Flamengo win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Athletico Paranaense has a probability of 31.56% and a draw has a probability of 29.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win is 1-0 (10.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (14.1%).

Result

Athletico Paranaense 31.56% ▲ (+1.43)
Draw 29.67% ▼ (-0.08)
Flamengo 38.77% ▼ (-1.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.86% ▼ (-0.96)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.33% ▼ (-0.86)
Under 1.5 33.67% ▲ (+0.86)
Over 2.5 39.41% ▼ (-0.91)
Under 2.5 60.59% ▲ (+0.91)
Over 3.5 19.21% ▼ (-0.90)
Under 3.5 80.79% ▲ (+0.90)
Over 4.5 9.39% ▼ (-0.62)
Under 4.5 90.61% ▲ (+0.63)

First Half Winner

Athletico Paranaense 27.81% ▲ (+0.49)
Draw 47.21% ▼ (-0.61)
Flamengo 24.98% ▲ (+0.13)

Team To Score First

Athletico Paranaense 45.21% ▲ (+0.79)
No Goal 10.63% ▲ (+0.28)
Flamengo 44.16% ▼ (-1.06)

Corners

Over 8 54.1% ▼ (-1.40)
Equal 8 11.94% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 8 33.96% ▲ (+1.47)
Over 9 42.27% ▼ (-1.17)
Equal 9 11.83% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 9 45.9% ▲ (+1.40)
Over 10.5 31.53% ▼ (-0.88)
Under 10.5 68.47% ▲ (+0.88)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 1.5 27.41% ▲ (+0.49)
Under 1.5 72.59% ▼ (-0.49)
Over 2.5 8.29% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 2.5 91.71% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 3.5 2.11% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 97.89% ▼ (-0.08)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5 68.71% ▼ (-1.50)
Under 0.5 31.29% ▲ (+1.49)
Over 1.5 32.93% ▼ (-1.71)
Under 1.5 67.07% ▲ (+1.70)
Over 2.5 12.29% ▼ (-0.95)
Under 2.5 87.71% ▲ (+0.94)
Over 3.5 3.53% ▼ (-0.52)
Under 3.5 96.47% ▲ (+0.52)

Score analysis

Athletico Paranaense 31.58%
Draw 29.67%
Flamengo 38.78%
Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 10.98% ▲ (+0.60)
2-1 @ 7.28% ▲ (+0.19)
2-0 @ 5.79% ▲ (+0.37)
3-1 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.20)
3-2 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.11)
Total : 31.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 14.1% ▼ (-0.08)
0-0 @ 10.63% ▲ (+0.28)
2-2 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.21)
Other @ 0.09% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 29.67%
Flamengo
0-1 @ 12.09% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.15% ▼ (-0.22)
0-2 @ 7.01% ▼ (-0.28)
1-3 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.13)
0-3 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.17)
2-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.50)
Total : 38.78%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 28
Flamengo
Sep 30, 2024 12.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Athletico PR
  • Gabriel Barbosa 27' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Barbosa 27' yellowcard
  • David Luiz 36' yellowcard
  • David Luiz 36' yellowcard
  • Gerson 90' goal
  • Gerson 90' goal
  • yellowcard Mateo Gamarra 27'
  • yellowcard Mateo Gamarra 27'
  • yellowcard Christian 79'
  • yellowcard Christian 79'
Brasileiro Gameweek 9
Athletico PR
Jun 16, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Arena de Baixada
Flamengo
  • Fernandinho 90'+2' goal
  • Pablo 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Bruno Zapelli 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Cuca 90'+10' redcard
  • Madson 90'+11' yellowcard
  • Alexi Stival 90'+12' redcard
  • Leo Linck 90'+12' yellowcard
  • Mycael Pontes Moreira 90'+13' redcard
  • yellowcard Victor Hugo 50'
  • yellowcard Evertton Gustavo Fernandes Araujo 87'
  • yellowcard Fabricio Bruno 90'+8'
  • goal Evertton Gustavo Fernandes Araujo 90'+9'
Brasileiro Gameweek 23
Flamengo
Sep 14, 2023 1.30am
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Athletico PR
  • Wesley 30' yellowcard
  • Jorge Sampaoli 31' yellowcard
  • Everton Ribeiro 52' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Barbosa 67' redcard
  • goal Caca 27'
  • yellowcard Hugo Moura 58'
  • yellowcard Alex Santana 71'
  • goal Alex Santana 84'
  • goal Vitor Bueno 90'+7'
Copa do Brasil
Athletico PR
Jul 13, 2023 1.30am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Alinja Arena
Flamengo
  • goal Erick 45' (OG)
  • goal Erick 45' (OG)
  • goal Gabriel Barbosa 90'+3'
  • goal Gabriel Barbosa 90'+3'
Copa do Brasil
Flamengo
Jul 6, 2023 1.30am
2
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Nilton Santos
Athletico PR
  • Pedro 55' goal
  • Pedro 55' goal
  • Bruno Henrique 71' goal
  • Bruno Henrique 71' goal
  • goal Agustin Canobbio 6'
  • goal Agustin Canobbio 6'
Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Athletico PR
May 7, 2023 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Arena de Baixada
Flamengo
  • Vitor Roque 29' goal
  • Erick 80' goal
  • goal Gabriel Barbosa 15'

Form Data

Atletico GO 0 - 0 Athletico PR
Vasco 1 - 0 Athletico PR
Athletico PR 0 - 0 Gremio
Athletico PR 3 - 1 Vitoria
Athletico PR 0 - 0 Atletico GO
Palmeiras 1 - 0 Athletico PR
Vitoria 2 - 0 Flamengo
Gremio 0 - 1 Flamengo
Medellin 0 - 0 Flamengo
Flamengo 2 - 2 Vasco
Estudiantes 1 - 1 Flamengo
Atletico Mineiro 0 - 4 Flamengo