Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 61.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.24% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 14.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.95%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%) , while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood.