Copa Libertadores Gameweek 5
May 21, 2026 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Lucas Paquetá 60' yellowcard
  • Samuel Lino 60' yellowcard
  • Pedro 65' goal
  • Nicolás de la Cruz 76' yellowcard
  • Wallace Yan 88' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Varela 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Edwuin Cetré 72'
  • yellowcard Facundo Farías 72'
  • yellowcard Fabricio Pérez 85'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Neves 85'
  • yellowcard Adolfo Gaich 89'

Flamengo vs Estudiantes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 8, 2026 1.30am
Medellin 0 - 0 Flamengo

Estudiantes

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 6, 2026 11.00pm
Garcilaso 1 - 1 Estudiantes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 61.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.24% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 14.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.95%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%) , while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood.

Result

Flamengo 61.84% (-0.91)
Draw 23.24% (-0.74)
Estudiantes 14.9% (+1.63)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.91% (+4.40)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.71% (+3.37)
Under 1.5 28.29% (-3.38)
Over 2.5 45.75% (+4.51)
Under 2.5 54.25% (-4.51)
Over 3.5 24.69% (+3.77)
Under 3.5 75.31% (-3.77)
Over 4.5 14.94% (+2.35)
Under 4.5 85.06% (-2.35)

First Half Winner

Flamengo 44.84% (-0.02)
Draw 41.42% (+0.13)
Estudiantes 13.74% (-0.09)

Team To Score First

Flamengo 67.15% (+1.20)
No Goal 8.14% (-1.39)
Estudiantes 24.71% (+0.20)

Corners

Over 8 33.24% (-22.06)
Equal 8 10.08% (-2.04)
Under 8 56.68% (+24.09)
Over 9 24.78% (-18.39)
Equal 9 8.45% (-3.67)
Under 9 66.76% (+22.06)
Over 10.5 18.19% (-13.91)
Under 10.5 81.81% (+13.91)

Flamengo Goals

Over 1.5 52.55% (+2.05)
Under 1.5 47.45% (-2.05)
Over 2.5 25.7% (+2.03)
Under 2.5 74.3% (-2.04)
Over 3.5 10.54% (+1.15)
Under 3.5 89.46% (-1.16)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5 46.82% (+3.57)
Under 0.5 53.18% (-3.57)
Over 1.5 15.6% (+2.96)
Under 1.5 84.4% (-2.96)
Over 2.5 3.71% (+1.24)
Under 2.5 96.29% (-1.24)
Over 3.5 0.75% (+0.36)
Under 3.5 99.25% (-0.36)

Score analysis

Flamengo 61.83%
Draw 23.24%
Estudiantes 14.89%
Flamengo
1-0 @ 14.4% (-1.89)
2-0 @ 12.95% (-1.21)
2-1 @ 9.39% (+0.38)
3-0 @ 7.15% (-0.27)
3-1 @ 5.23% (+0.56)
3-2 @ 2.21% (+0.40)
Other @ 10.5% (+1.12)
Total : 61.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.89% (-0.17)
0-0 @ 8.14% (-1.39)
2-2 @ 3.6% (+0.59)
Other @ 0.04% (+0.03)
Total : 23.24%
Estudiantes
0-1 @ 5.71% (-0.16)
1-2 @ 3.96% (+0.51)
0-2 @ 2.12% (+0.24)
Other @ 0.71% (+0.33)
Total : 14.89%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 3
Apr 30, 2026 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Ciudad de Caseros
  • Guido Carrillo 55' goal
  • Edwuin Cetré 74' yellowcard
  • Alexis Castro 86' yellowcard
  • Adolfo Gaich 86' yellowcard
  • Adolfo Gaich 87' yellowcard
  • Brian Aguirre 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jorge Carrascal 21'
  • goal Luiz Araújo 33'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Plata 70'
  • yellowcard Pedro 81'
  • yellowcard Saúl Ñíguez  81'
Copa Libertadores
Sep 26, 2025 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Copa Libertadores
Sep 19, 2025 1.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT