Copa Libertadores Gameweek 4
May 6, 2026 11.00pm
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega

Real Garcilaso vs Estudiantes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Garcilaso

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 1, 2026 3.00am
Medellin 1 - 0 Garcilaso

Estudiantes

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 30, 2026 1.30am
Estudiantes 1 - 1 Flamengo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Garcilaso win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Estudiantes has a probability of 34.17% and a draw has a probability of 27.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Garcilaso win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Estudiantes win is 0-1 (10.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.4%).

Result

Real Garcilaso 38.23% (+0.01)
Draw 27.53%
Estudiantes 34.17% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.66% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.13% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 30.87% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 42.76% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 57.24% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 21.72% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 78.28% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 11.4% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 88.6% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Real Garcilaso 33.01% (-0.08)
Draw 46.11% (+0.15)
Estudiantes 20.88% (-0.09)

Team To Score First

Real Garcilaso 52.15% (+0.08)
No Goal 9.01%
Estudiantes 38.84% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 42.55% (+0.03)
Equal 8 12%
Under 8 45.45% (-0.03)
Over 9 31.7% (+0.03)
Equal 9 10.85%
Under 9 57.45% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 22.65% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 77.35% (-0.03)

Real Garcilaso Goals

Over 1.5 33.76% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 66.24% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 12.14% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 87.86% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.76% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.24% (+0.01)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5 65.61% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 34.39% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 30.86% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 69.14% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 11.35% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 88.65% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 3.22% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.78% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Real Garcilaso 38.25%
Draw 27.53%
Estudiantes 34.18%
Real Garcilaso
1-0 @ 11.57% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.11% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.2% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.99% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.87% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.7% (-0.01)
Total : 38.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.4% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 9.01%
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 27.53%
Estudiantes
0-1 @ 10.25% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.59% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.76% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.48% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.16% (-0.03)
Total : 34.18%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 2
Apr 14, 2026 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Ciudad de Caseros
  • Facundo Farías 28' goal
  • Tiago Palacios 48' goal
  • Brian Aguirre 62' yellowcard
  • Facundo Farías 63' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Piovi 63' yellowcard
  • Alexis Castro 63' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Neves 63' yellowcard
  • Adolfo Gaich 74' yellowcard
  • José Sosa 81' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Colitto 31'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Silva 53'
  • yellowcard Carlos Diez 65'
  • yellowcard José Alí Gutiérrez 65'
  • yellowcard José Alí Gutiérrez 66'
  • yellowcard Juan Tévez 81'
  • yellowcard Iván Colman 81'
Gameweek 5
May 1, 2018 11.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Giordano Mendoza 15' yellowcard
  • Juan Lojas 23' yellowcard
  • Jhonny Vidales 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Facundo Sanchez 21'
  • yellowcard Lucas Rodriguez 50'
  • yellowcard Ferney Otero 58'
  • yellowcard Leandro Desabato 89'
Gameweek 2
Mar 14, 2018 10.15pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lucas Melano 53' goal
  • Mariano Pavone 75' goal
  • Mariano Pavone 87' goal
  • Gaston Gimenez 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jesus Arismendi 59'