Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Santos had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ceara | Draw | Santos |
| 42.7% | 26.94% | 30.36% |
| Both teams to score 49.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.79% | 55.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.55% | 76.45% |
| Ceara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.41% | 25.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.53% | 60.47% |
| Santos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.87% | 33.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.27% | 69.73% |
| Score Analysis |
Ceara 42.7%
Santos 30.36%
Draw 26.93%
| Ceara | Draw | Santos |
| 1-0 @ 11.55% 2-1 @ 8.7% 2-0 @ 7.87% 3-1 @ 3.95% 3-0 @ 3.58% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.3% Total : 42.7% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.48% 2-2 @ 4.81% Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 9.37% 1-2 @ 7.05% 0-2 @ 5.17% 1-3 @ 2.6% 0-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.5% Total : 30.36% |


