Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 26
Oct 16, 2022 at 2pm UK
Tele2 Arena

Djurgarden
1 - 2
AIK

Holmberg (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Guidetti (10'), Stefanelli (60')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Djurgardens IF and AIK Fotboll.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Djurgarden 4-2 Gent
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: AIK 2-0 Helsingborg
Sunday, October 9 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 48.79%. A win for AIK Fotboll had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest AIK Fotboll win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Djurgardens IFDrawAIK Fotboll
48.79% (0.311 0.31)22.72% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)28.48% (-0.315 -0.31)
Both teams to score 62.61% (-0.259 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.12% (-0.24 -0.24)37.88% (0.242 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.86% (-0.256 -0.26)60.13% (0.257 0.26)
Djurgardens IF Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.16% (0.022000000000006 0.02)15.84% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.97% (0.037999999999997 0.04)45.03% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
AIK Fotboll Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (-0.327 -0.33)25.6% (0.329 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.52% (-0.45 -0.45)60.48% (0.45 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Djurgardens IF 48.79%
    AIK Fotboll 28.48%
    Draw 22.72%
Djurgardens IFDrawAIK Fotboll
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.47% (0.091 0.09)
2-0 @ 6.88% (0.089 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.23% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.65% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.95% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.81% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.98% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 48.79%
1-1 @ 10.18% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.39% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.06% (0.047 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.78% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.72%
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.53% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.77% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.15% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 28.48%

Head to Head
Apr 24, 2022 2pm
AIK
1-0
Djurgarden
Stefanelli (45')
Hussein (35'), Milosevic (90+2'), Nordfeldt (90+3')

Johansson (37'), Hien (78')
Oct 3, 2021 2pm
AIK
1-0
Djurgarden
Stefanelli (45+2')
Stefanelli (28'), Larsson (61'), Nordfeldt (77')
Stefanelli (45+2')

Holmberg (16'), Asoro (42')
Schuller (11')
Aug 8, 2021 2pm
Djurgarden
1-4
AIK
Radetinac (29')
Lofgren (89')
Goitom (8'), Larsson (50'), Stefanelli (69'), Milosevic (80')
Otieno (65')
Nov 8, 2020 1.30pm
Jul 26, 2020 4.30pm
AIK
0-1
Djurgarden

Hussein (45+3'), Goitom (76')
Fonn Witry (77')
Radetinac (84'), Ulvestad (90+5')