Nagoya Grampus
3 - 0
Jiangsu

Kakitani (34'), Mateus (65' pen., 82')
Yoshida (50'), Nagasawa (51')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Shin (39'), Grant (66'), Lee (86'), Lee (88')
Shin (64')

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Nagoya Grampus and Jiangsu Suning.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Jiangsu Suning had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.27%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Jiangsu Suning win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result
Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Jiangsu Suning
44.53%	23.3%	32.16%

Both teams to score 62.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.37%

38.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.07%

60.93%

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.26%

17.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.58%

48.42%

Jiangsu Suning Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.31%

23.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.19%

57.8%

Score Analysis

Nagoya Grampus 44.53%

Jiangsu Suning 32.16%

Draw 23.29%

Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Jiangsu Suning
2-1 @ 9.05% 1-0 @ 7.27% 2-0 @ 6.28% 3-1 @ 5.22% 3-2 @ 3.76% 3-0 @ 3.62% 4-1 @ 2.26% 4-2 @ 1.62% 4-0 @ 1.57% Other @ 3.89% Total : 44.53%	1-1 @ 10.46% 2-2 @ 6.52% 0-0 @ 4.2% 3-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.29%	1-2 @ 7.54% 0-1 @ 6.05% 0-2 @ 4.36% 1-3 @ 3.62% 2-3 @ 3.13% 0-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1.3% 2-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.95% Total : 32.16%