Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.94%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 43.24% | 23.23% | 33.53% |
| Both teams to score 63.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.21% | 37.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.96% | 60.04% |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.07% | 17.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.26% | 48.74% |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.48% | 22.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.91% | 56.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 2-1 @ 8.89% 1-0 @ 6.94% 2-0 @ 5.96% 3-1 @ 5.09% 3-2 @ 3.8% 3-0 @ 3.42% 4-1 @ 2.19% 4-2 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.85% Total : 43.24% | 1-1 @ 10.34% 2-2 @ 6.63% 0-0 @ 4.04% 3-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.23% | 1-2 @ 7.71% 0-1 @ 6.02% 0-2 @ 4.49% 1-3 @ 3.83% 2-3 @ 3.29% 0-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 1.43% 2-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.3% Total : 33.53% |