Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.94%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
43.24% | 23.23% | 33.53% |
Both teams to score 63.59% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.21% | 37.79% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.96% | 60.04% |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.07% | 17.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.26% | 48.74% |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.48% | 22.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.91% | 56.09% |
Score Analysis |
Western United | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
2-1 @ 8.89% 1-0 @ 6.94% 2-0 @ 5.96% 3-1 @ 5.09% 3-2 @ 3.8% 3-0 @ 3.42% 4-1 @ 2.19% 4-2 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.85% Total : 43.24% | 1-1 @ 10.34% 2-2 @ 6.63% 0-0 @ 4.04% 3-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.23% | 1-2 @ 7.71% 0-1 @ 6.02% 0-2 @ 4.49% 1-3 @ 3.83% 2-3 @ 3.29% 0-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 1.43% 2-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.3% Total : 33.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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