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Australian A-League | Gameweek 7
Jan 1, 2022 at 8.45am UK
Hindmarsh Stadium, Adelaide
Wellington Phoenix

Adelaide United
4 - 0
Wellington

Blackwood (7'), Goodwin (54' pen., 69' pen.), Lopez (80')
Sanchez (48'), Kitto (58'), Tratt (75'), Mauk (87'), Lopez (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Waine (29'), Lewis (46'), (48'), Pennington (73')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Wellington Phoenix.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawWellington Phoenix
41.26%24.44%34.31%
Both teams to score 59.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.62%43.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.23%65.77%
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.88%21.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.05%53.95%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.29%24.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.75%59.25%
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 41.26%
    Wellington Phoenix 34.31%
    Draw 24.43%
Adelaide UnitedDrawWellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 8.82%
1-0 @ 8.11%
2-0 @ 6.31%
3-1 @ 4.57%
3-0 @ 3.27%
3-2 @ 3.2%
4-1 @ 1.78%
4-0 @ 1.27%
4-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 41.26%
1-1 @ 11.34%
2-2 @ 6.17%
0-0 @ 5.22%
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.43%
1-2 @ 7.93%
0-1 @ 7.29%
0-2 @ 5.1%
1-3 @ 3.7%
2-3 @ 2.87%
0-3 @ 2.38%
1-4 @ 1.29%
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 34.31%

Head to Head
May 7, 2021 10.35am
Gameweek 7
Adelaide United
0-0
Wellington
Juande (12'), Strain (68')
Strain (74')
Lewis (19')
Apr 25, 2021 7.10am
Gameweek 23
Wellington
2-1
Adelaide United
Waine (58'), Hemed (90+7' pen.)
Rufer (10'), McGarry (37'), Ball (65'), Devlin (90+6')
Mauk (51')
Mauk (39'), Gauci (90+5'), Toure (90+6')
Jul 25, 2020 8am
Gameweek 26
Wellington
1-1
Adelaide United
Sotirio (65')
Piscopo (45'), Fenton (90+1')
Fardal Opseth (60')
Elsey (34'), Gomulka (61'), Jakobsen (82'), Toure (85')
Dec 1, 2019 7am
Gameweek 8
Adelaide United
1-2
Wellington
Mileusnic (57')
Ball (67'), Davila (71' pen.)
Cacace (95')
Apr 7, 2019 8am
Gameweek 24
Adelaide United
3-1
Wellington
Marrone (10'), Stamatelopoulos (17', 44')
Goodwin (78')
Stamatelopoulos (45')
Sheridan (73')
Lowry (19'), Rufer (29'), Golec (60')
rhs 2.0
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