Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 46.87%. A win for Wurzburger Kickers had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.31%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Wurzburger Kickers win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.