Champions League
PSG
Mar 11, 2026 8.00pm
5
2
HT : 2 1
FT Parc des Princes
Chelsea
  • Bradley Barcola 10' goal
  • Ousmane Dembélé 40' goal
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 62' yellowcard
  • Kang-in Lee 69' yellowcard
  • Vitinha 74' goal
  • Lucas Hernández 78' yellowcard
  • Senny Mayulu 78' yellowcard
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 86' goal
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 90'+4' goal
  • goal Malo Gusto 28'
  • goal Enzo Fernández 57'
  • yellowcard Liam Delap 83'
  • yellowcard Roméo Lavia 83'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Garnacho 88'

Paris Saint-Germain vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Chelsea

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 46.67%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.36%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (7.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%).

Result

Paris Saint-Germain 46.67% ▼ (-0.16)
Draw 22.52%
Chelsea 30.81% ▲ (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.47% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.98% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 17.02% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 62.97% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 36.99% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 41.46% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 58.51% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 4.5 25.98% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 74.02% ▼ (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Paris Saint-Germain 37.29%
Draw 36.94%
Chelsea 25.77%

Team To Score First

Paris Saint-Germain 55.09% ▲ (+0.08)
No Goal 4.02% ▼ (-0.03)
Chelsea 40.89% ▼ (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 54.16% ▼ (-0.13)
Equal 8 11.41% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 8 34.43% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 9 42.86% ▼ (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.3% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 9 45.84% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 10.5 32.56%
Under 10.5 67.44%

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 1.5 51.33% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 48.67% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 26.91% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 73.09% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 11.48% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 88.52% ▲ (+0.04)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 67.32% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 0.5 32.68% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 1.5 37.93% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 62.07% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 2.5 16.27% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 83.73% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 3.5 5.93% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 94.07% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 46.68%
Draw 22.51%
Chelsea 30.8%
Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 8.58% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 7.36% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.27% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.58%
3-0 @ 3.97% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.87%
Other @ 11.05% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 46.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.6% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.45% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 22.51%
Chelsea
1-2 @ 7.19% ▲ (+0.06)
0-1 @ 5.63%
0-2 @ 4.15%
1-3 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 5.5% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 30.8%

Head to Head

Club World Cup
Chelsea
Jul 13, 2025 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
PSG
Champions League
Chelsea
Mar 9, 2016 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
PSG
  • Diego Costa 27' goal
  • Cesc Fabregas 45' yellowcard
  • John Obi Mikel 53' yellowcard
  • Branislav Ivanovic 90' yellowcard
  • goal Adrien Rabiot 16'
  • yellowcard Adrien Rabiot 34'
  • yellowcard Thiago Motta 41'
  • goal Zlatan Ibrahimovic 67'
  • yellowcard Blaise Matuidi 86'
Pre-Season Friendlies
PSG
Jul 25, 2015 11.10pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Bank of America Stadium
Chelsea
  • Zlatan Ibrahimovic 25' goal
  • Adrien Rabiot 52' yellowcard
  • Serge Aurier 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cesar Azpilicueta 34'
  • goal Victor Moses 65'
Champions League
Chelsea
Mar 11, 2015 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
PSG
  • Oscar 37' yellowcard
  • Ramires 52' yellowcard
  • Diego Costa 73' yellowcard
  • Gary Cahill 81' goal
  • Eden Hazard 96' goal
  • redcard Zlatan Ibrahimovic 31'
  • yellowcard Thiago Motta 33'
  • yellowcard Blaise Matuidi 40'
  • yellowcard David Luiz 73'
  • yellowcard Marco Verratti 74'
  • goal David Luiz 86'
  • goal Thiago Silva 114'
Champions League
PSG
Feb 17, 2015 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Chelsea
  • Gregory van der Wiel 52' yellowcard
  • Edinson Cavani 54' goal
  • Marco Verratti 78' yellowcard
  • goal Branislav Ivanovic 36'
  • yellowcard Branislav Ivanovic 65'
  • yellowcard Cesc Fabregas 73'
Champions League
Chelsea
Apr 8, 2014 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
PSG
  • Willian 23' yellowcard
  • Andre Schurrle 32' goal
  • Frank Lampard 41' yellowcard
  • Branislav Ivanovic 56' yellowcard
  • David Luiz 82' yellowcard
  • Demba Ba 87' goal
  • yellowcard Marco Verratti 27'
  • yellowcard Edinson Cavani 40'
  • yellowcard Lucas Moura 52'
  • yellowcard Maxwell 79'

Form Data

PSG 1 - 3 Monaco
Le Havre 0 - 1 PSG
PSG 2 - 2 Monaco
PSG 3 - 0 Metz
Monaco 2 - 3 PSG
Rennes 3 - 1 PSG
Wrexham 2 - 4 Chelsea
Aston Villa 1 - 4 Chelsea
Arsenal 2 - 1 Chelsea
Chelsea 1 - 1 Burnley
Hull City 0 - 4 Chelsea
Chelsea 2 - 2 Leeds

Build-up

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