Champions League
Mar 17, 2026 8.00pm
Stamford Bridge

Chelsea vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Mar 11, 2026 8.00pm
PSG 5 - 2 Chelsea

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Mar 11, 2026 8.00pm
PSG 5 - 2 Chelsea

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Chelsea has a probability of 32.34% and a draw has a probability of 23.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Chelsea win is 2-1 (7.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.19%).

Result

Chelsea 32.34% (+0.11)
Draw 23.09%
Paris Saint-Germain 44.53% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.3% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.97% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 19.03% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 59.7% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 40.3% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 38.21% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 61.79% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 23.41% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 76.59% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Chelsea 31.69%
Draw 38%
Paris Saint-Germain 30.31%

Team To Score First

Chelsea 47.79% (+0.02)
No Goal 4.76% (-0.04)
Paris Saint-Germain 47.45% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 53.34% (-0.03)
Equal 8 11.27% (+0.01)
Under 8 35.39% (+0.04)
Over 9 42.24% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.1% (+0.01)
Under 9 46.66% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 32.14% (-0.07)
Under 10.5 67.86% (+0.07)

Chelsea Goals

Over 1.5 37.6% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 62.4% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 16.35% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 83.65% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 5.8% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 94.2% (-0.05)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 76.75% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 23.25% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 47.89% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 52.11% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 23.35% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 76.65% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 9.63% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 90.37% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Chelsea 32.35%
Draw 23.09%
Paris Saint-Germain 44.54%
Chelsea
2-1 @ 7.15% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 6.43%
2-0 @ 4.47% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.7% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.03%
3-0 @ 2.09% (+0.01)
Other @ 5.48% (+0.06)
Total : 32.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.19% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.09% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.76% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.09%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-2 @ 8.82% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.82% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 6.6% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 5.02% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.54% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.43% (-0.03)
Other @ 9.31% (-0.01)
Total : 44.54%

Head to Head

Champions League
Mar 11, 2026 8.00pm
5
2
HT : 2 1
FT Parc des Princes
  • Bradley Barcola 10' goal
  • Ousmane Dembélé 40' goal
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 62' yellowcard
  • Kang-in Lee 69' yellowcard
  • Vitinha 74' goal
  • Lucas Hernández 78' yellowcard
  • Senny Mayulu 78' yellowcard
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 86' goal
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 90'+4' goal
  • goal Malo Gusto 28'
  • goal Enzo Fernández 57'
  • yellowcard Liam Delap 83'
  • yellowcard Roméo Lavia 83'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Garnacho 88'
Club World Cup
Jul 13, 2025 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Champions League
Mar 9, 2016 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Diego Costa 27' goal
  • Cesc Fabregas 45' yellowcard
  • John Obi Mikel 53' yellowcard
  • Branislav Ivanovic 90' yellowcard
  • goal Adrien Rabiot 16'
  • yellowcard Adrien Rabiot 34'
  • yellowcard Thiago Motta 41'
  • goal Zlatan Ibrahimovic 67'
  • yellowcard Blaise Matuidi 86'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 25, 2015 11.10pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Bank of America Stadium
  • Zlatan Ibrahimovic 25' goal
  • Adrien Rabiot 52' yellowcard
  • Serge Aurier 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cesar Azpilicueta 34'
  • goal Victor Moses 65'
Champions League
Mar 11, 2015 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Oscar 37' yellowcard
  • Ramires 52' yellowcard
  • Diego Costa 73' yellowcard
  • Gary Cahill 81' goal
  • Eden Hazard 96' goal
  • redcard Zlatan Ibrahimovic 31'
  • yellowcard Thiago Motta 33'
  • yellowcard Blaise Matuidi 40'
  • yellowcard David Luiz 73'
  • yellowcard Marco Verratti 74'
  • goal David Luiz 86'
  • goal Thiago Silva 114'
Champions League
Feb 17, 2015 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Gregory van der Wiel 52' yellowcard
  • Edinson Cavani 54' goal
  • Marco Verratti 78' yellowcard
  • goal Branislav Ivanovic 36'
  • yellowcard Branislav Ivanovic 65'
  • yellowcard Cesc Fabregas 73'

Build-up

Head to head
How to watch
Predicted Lineups