World Cup
Jul 19, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
ET New York New Jersey Stadium
  • Ferran Torres 106' goal
  • yellowcard Lisandro Martínez 41'
  • yellowcard Leandro Paredes 52'
  • yellowcard Enzo Fernández 82'
  • yellowcard Cristian Romero  90'+2'
  • redcard Enzo Fernández 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Lionel Scaloni 105'
  • yellowcard Alexis Mac Allister 111'

Spain vs Argentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain

All competitions

Argentina

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Argentina had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.95%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Argentina win was 1-2 (7.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result

Spain 44.2% (+0.11)
Draw 23.1% (+0.06)
Argentina 32.75% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.95% (-0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.11% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 16.89% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 62.8% (-0.31)
Under 2.5 37.2% (+0.31)
Over 3.5 41.1% (-0.36)
Under 3.5 58.9% (+0.36)
Over 4.5 25.76% (-0.30)
Under 4.5 74.24% (+0.30)

Spain Goals

Over 1.5 49.46% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 50.54% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 24.96% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 75.04% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 10.48% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 89.52% (+0.09)

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5 69.53% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 30.47% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 39.67% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 60.33% (+0.24)
Over 2.5 17.56% (-0.24)
Under 2.5 82.44% (+0.24)
Over 3.5 6.5% (-0.16)
Under 3.5 93.5% (+0.16)

Score analysis

Spain 44.21%
Draw 23.1%
Argentina 32.76%
Spain
2-1 @ 8.74% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 6.95% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 5.95% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 5.14%
3-2 @ 3.9% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.45% (+0.03)
Other @ 10.08% (-0.08)
Total : 44.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.08% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 6.52% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.11% (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.99% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.4% (-0.02)
Total : 23.1%
Argentina
1-2 @ 7.41%
0-1 @ 5.9% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 4.28% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.68% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.29% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.1%
Other @ 6.1% (-0.14)
Total : 32.76%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Mar 27, 2018 8.30pm
6
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
  • Diego Costa 12' goal
  • Isco 27' goal
  • Isco 52' goal
  • Thiago Alcantara 55' goal
  • Isco 68' yellowcard
  • Iago Aspas 74' goal
  • Isco 75' goal
  • goal Nicolas Hernan Otamendi 39'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Tagliafico 68'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Meza 81'
  • yellowcard Faustino Marcos Alberto Rojo 87'
  • yellowcard Cristian David Pavon 89'

Build-up

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