World Cup
Spain
Jul 19, 2026 8.00pm
New York New Jersey Stadium
Argentina

Spain vs Argentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain

All competitions

Argentina

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Spain win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Argentina has a probability of 32.8% and a draw has a probability of 23.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.98%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Argentina win is 1-2 (7.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.14%).

Result

Spain 44.05% ▲ (+0.05)
Draw 23.15%
Argentina 32.8% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.8% ▲ (+0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.95% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 17.05% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 62.55% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 37.45% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 40.8% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 3.5 59.2% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 4.5 25.47% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 4.5 74.53% ▼ (-0.16)

Spain Goals

Over 1.5 49.22% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 50.78% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 24.7% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 75.3% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 10.29% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 89.71% ▼ (-0.08)

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5 69.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 30.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 39.62% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 60.38% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 17.49% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 82.51% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.45% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 93.55% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Spain 44.04%
Draw 23.16%
Argentina 32.8%
Spain
2-1 @ 8.76% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.98% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.96% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 9.9% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 44.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.14% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.52% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.14% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 23.16%
Argentina
1-2 @ 7.44% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.69%
2-3 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 32.8%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Spain
Mar 27, 2018 8.30pm
6
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Argentina
  • Diego Costa 12' goal
  • Isco 27' goal
  • Isco 52' goal
  • Thiago Alcantara 55' goal
  • Isco 68' yellowcard
  • Iago Aspas 74' goal
  • Isco 75' goal
  • goal Nicolas Hernan Otamendi 39'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Tagliafico 68'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Meza 81'
  • yellowcard Faustino Marcos Alberto Rojo 87'
  • yellowcard Cristian David Pavon 89'

Form Data

France 0 - 2 Spain
Spain 2 - 1 Belgium
Portugal 0 - 1 Spain
Spain 3 - 0 Austria
Uruguay 0 - 1 Spain
Spain 4 - 0 Saudi Arabia
England 1 - 2 Argentina
Argentina 3 - 1 Switzerland
Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt
Argentina 3 - 2 Cape Verde
Jordan 1 - 3 Argentina
Argentina 2 - 0 Austria

Build-up

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