Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Austria had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Argentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Austria win was 1-2 (7.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.