/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Farglog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fhonlog.png)
-
Valentín Barco
31'
-
Lautaro Martínez
37'
-
Lisandro Martínez
49'
-
Giuliano Simeone
54'
-
Facundo Medina
72'
-
Nicolás Capaldo
90'+1'
-
Denil Maldonado
52'
Argentina vs Honduras - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F05%2Fmessi-argentina-1-6a18c617c34f0289538982.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F05%2Fargentina-6-6a03954f2366f926785762.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 60.85%. A draw had a probability of 22.15% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 16.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%) , while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
Result
Argentina
60.85%
▼
(-7.64)
Draw
22.15%
▲
(+2.00)
Honduras
16.97%
▲
(+5.56)
Both Teams to Score:
47.85%
▲
(+6.47)
Goals
Over 1.5
75.99%
▲
(+1.68)
Under 1.5
24.01%
▼
(-1.67)
Over 2.5
52.39%
▲
(+1.21)
Under 2.5
47.61%
▼
(-1.21)
Over 3.5
31.07%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 3.5
68.93%
▼
(-0.17)
Over 4.5
19.58%
▼
(-1.45)
Under 4.5
80.42%
▲
(+1.44)
First Half Winner
Argentina
50.17%
Draw
36.24%
Honduras
13.59%
Team To Score First
Argentina
71.4%
▲
(+0.77)
No Goal
6.44%
▼
(-0.99)
Honduras
22.16%
▲
(+0.24)
Corners
Over 8
48.66%
Equal 8
11.56%
Under 8
39.77%
Over 9
37.68%
Equal 9
10.99%
Under 9
51.34%
Over 10.5
28.04%
Under 10.5
71.96%
Argentina Goals
Over 1.5
55.18%
▼
(-4.07)
Under 1.5
44.82%
▲
(+4.07)
Over 2.5
29.02%
▼
(-3.95)
Under 2.5
70.98%
▲
(+3.96)
Over 3.5
13.1%
▼
(-2.59)
Under 3.5
86.9%
▲
(+2.60)
Honduras Goals
Over 0.5
50.9%
▲
(+10.06)
Under 0.5
49.1%
▼
(-10.06)
Over 1.5
19.96%
▲
(+5.47)
Under 1.5
80.04%
▼
(-5.46)
Over 2.5
5.82%
▲
(+1.73)
Under 2.5
94.18%
▼
(-1.72)
Over 3.5
1.53%
▲
(+0.41)
Under 3.5
98.47%
▼
(-0.41)
Score analysis
Argentina
60.85%
Draw
22.14%
Honduras
16.98%
Argentina
1-0
@
12.28%
▼
(-2.21)
2-0 @ 10.8% ▼ (-2.47)
2-1 @ 9.63% ▲ (+1.08)
3-0 @ 6.55% ▼ (-1.89)
3-1 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.13)
3-2 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.31)
Other @ 13% ▼ (-2.58)
Total : 60.85%
2-0 @ 10.8% ▼ (-2.47)
2-1 @ 9.63% ▲ (+1.08)
3-0 @ 6.55% ▼ (-1.89)
3-1 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.13)
3-2 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.31)
Other @ 13% ▼ (-2.58)
Total : 60.85%
Draw
1-1
@
10.41%
▲
(+1.95)
0-0 @ 6.44% ▼ (-0.99)
2-2 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.94)
Other @ 0.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 22.14%
0-0 @ 6.44% ▼ (-0.99)
2-2 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.94)
Other @ 0.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 22.14%
Honduras
0-1
@
5.26%
▲
(+1.45)
1-2 @ 4.38% ▲ (+1.48)
0-2 @ 2.4% ▲ (+1.02)
1-3 @ 1.43%
2-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.41)
Total : 16.98%
1-2 @ 4.38% ▲ (+1.48)
0-2 @ 2.4% ▲ (+1.02)
1-3 @ 1.43%
2-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.41)
Total : 16.98%