Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 76.61%. A draw had a probability of 17.51% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 5.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.64%) and 3-0 (11.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.7%) , while for a Mauritania win it was 0-1 (3.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.