Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 76.94%. A draw had a probability of 16.45% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 6.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.31%) and 3-0 (11.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.7%) , while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (3.11%).