International Friendlies
Apr 1, 2026 12.30am
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Alberto José Armando
  • Julián Alvarez 4' goal
  • Lionel Messi  43' goal
  • Nicolás Otamendi 50' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo De Paul 53' yellowcard
  • Valentín Barco 54' yellowcard
  • Nico González 54' yellowcard
  • Dominic Chanda 68' goal
  • Lucas Martínez Quarta 69' yellowcard
  • Giuliano Simeone 70' yellowcard
  • Juan Musso 74' yellowcard
  • Nico Paz 74' yellowcard
  • Máximo Perrone 74' yellowcard
  • Valentín Barco 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Patson Daka 60'
  • yellowcard Owen Tembo 60'
  • yellowcard Chanka Zimba 61'
  • yellowcard Pascal Phiri 77'
  • yellowcard Pascal Phiri 78'
  • yellowcard Kondwani Chiboni 88'
  • yellowcard Frederick Mulambia 88'

Argentina vs Zambia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentina

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Apr 1, 2026 12.15am
Argentina 0 - 0 Guatemala

Zambia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 31, 2026 5.00pm
Zimbabwe 0 - 0 Zambia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 76.94%. A draw had a probability of 16.45% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 6.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.31%) and 3-0 (11.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.7%) , while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (3.11%).

Result

Argentina 76.94% (-0.04)
Draw 16.45% (-0.02)
Zambia 6.59% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

34.73% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.85% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 26.15% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 50.4% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 49.6% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 29.44% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 70.56% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 21.98% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 78.02% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Argentina 55.86%
Draw 31.8%
Zambia 12.34%

Team To Score First

Argentina 73.07% (-0.02)
No Goal 7.7% (+0.01)
Zambia 19.23%

Corners

Over 8 29.36% (+0.08)
Equal 8 10.15% (+0.06)
Under 8 60.49% (-0.13)
Over 9 21.18% (+0.04)
Equal 9 8.18% (+0.05)
Under 9 70.64% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 15.03%
Under 10.5 84.97%

Argentina Goals

Over 1.5 63.95% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 36.05% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 38.5% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 61.5% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 19.84% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 80.16% (+0.07)

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5 29.77% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 70.23% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 7.08% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 92.92% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 1.07% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 98.93% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 0.17%
Under 3.5 99.83%

Score analysis

Argentina 76.93%
Draw 16.46%
Zambia 6.58%
Argentina
2-0 @ 15.83% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 15.31% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 11.53% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.52% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.39%
3-2 @ 1.52% (+0.02)
Other @ 19.83% (-0.08)
Total : 76.93%
Draw
0-0 @ 7.7% (+0.01)
1-1 @ 6.67% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 1.86% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 16.46%
Zambia
0-1 @ 3.11% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 1.67%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 6.58%

Build-up

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