Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Zambia win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Malawi has a probability of 32.36% and a draw has a probability of 29.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Malawi win is 0-1 (11.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.83%).