International Friendlies
Mar 28, 2026 1.00pm
Konkola Stadium

Zambia vs Malawi - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Zambia

All competitions

Malawi

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Zambia win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Malawi has a probability of 32.36% and a draw has a probability of 29.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Malawi win is 0-1 (11.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.83%).

Result

Zambia 38.55% (-0.11)
Draw 29.09% (+0.08)
Malawi 32.36% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.85%

Goals

Over 1.5 64.75% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 35.25% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 38.99% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 61.01% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 19.46% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 80.54% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 9.97% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 90.03% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Zambia 24.04%
Draw 47.81%
Malawi 28.15%

Team To Score First

Zambia 37.77% (-0.01)
No Goal 11.66% (+0.02)
Malawi 50.57% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 27.26% (+0.06)
Equal 8 10.15% (+0.01)
Under 8 62.58% (-0.08)
Over 9 19.25% (+0.04)
Equal 9 8.01% (+0.01)
Under 9 72.73% (-0.07)
Over 10.5 13.35% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 86.65% (-0.04)

Zambia Goals

Over 1.5 32.49% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 67.51% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 12.17% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 87.83% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 3.82% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.18% (+0.02)

Malawi Goals

Over 0.5 62.2% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 37.8% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 27.21% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 72.79% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 9.02% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 90.98% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 2.44%
Under 3.5 97.56%

Score analysis

Zambia 38.56%
Draw 29.09%
Malawi 32.35%
Zambia
1-0 @ 12.19%
2-1 @ 7.64% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.17% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.12% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.66% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.78% (-0.03)
Total : 38.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.83% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 11.66% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.99% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.04% (+0.02)
Total : 29.09%
Malawi
0-1 @ 11.4% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.78% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.76% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.38%
0-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.4% (-0.02)
Total : 32.35%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Mar 26, 2024 12.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Bingu National Stadium
  • Cletous Chama 16' goal
  • Patson Daka 18' goal
  • goal Lawrence Chaziya 22'
COSAFA Cup
Jul 6, 2023 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium
  • goal Aaron Katebe 17' (OG)
COSAFA Cup
Jul 13, 2021 11.00am
Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium
International Friendlies
Oct 7, 2020 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Nkoloma Stadium
  • Collins Sikombe 15' goal
  • 23' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 34'
  • yellowcard 44'
International Friendlies
Mar 11, 2020 12.00am