/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fzamlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fmallog_1.png)
-
H. Bwembya
29'
Zambia vs Malawi - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Malawi had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 29.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Malawi win was 0-1 (11.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
Result
Zambia
38.55%
▼
(-0.11)
Draw
29.09%
▲
(+0.08)
Malawi
32.36%
▲
(+0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
44.85%
Goals
Over 1.5
64.75%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
35.25%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 2.5
38.99%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
61.01%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
19.46%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
80.54%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 4.5
9.97%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 4.5
90.03%
▲
(+0.04)
First Half Winner
Zambia
24.04%
Draw
47.81%
Malawi
28.15%
Team To Score First
Zambia
37.77%
▼
(-0.01)
No Goal
11.66%
▲
(+0.02)
Malawi
50.57%
▼
(-0.01)
Corners
Over 8
27.26%
▲
(+0.06)
Equal 8
10.15%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 8
62.58%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 9
19.25%
▲
(+0.04)
Equal 9
8.01%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 9
72.73%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 10.5
13.35%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 10.5
86.65%
▼
(-0.04)
Zambia Goals
Over 1.5
32.49%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
67.51%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 2.5
12.17%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 2.5
87.83%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 3.5
3.82%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
96.18%
▲
(+0.02)
Malawi Goals
Over 0.5
62.2%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
37.8%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
27.21%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
72.79%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 2.5
9.02%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
90.98%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
2.44%
Under 3.5
97.56%
Score analysis
Zambia
38.56%
Draw
29.09%
Malawi
32.35%
Zambia
1-0
@
12.19%
2-1 @ 7.64% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.17% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 38.56%
2-1 @ 7.64% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.17% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 38.56%
Draw
1-1
@
12.83%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 11.66% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.99% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 29.09%
0-0 @ 11.66% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.99% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 29.09%
Malawi
0-1
@
11.4%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.78% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.38%
0-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 32.35%
1-2 @ 6.78% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.38%
0-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 32.35%
