International Friendlies
Jun 10, 2026 2.00am
Laugardalsvöllur

Argentina vs Iceland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentina

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 7, 2026 1.00am
Argentina 2 - 0 Honduras

Iceland

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
May 31, 2026 11.25am
Japan 1 - 0 Iceland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Argentina win with a probability of 73.65%. A draw has a probability of 17.9% and a win for Iceland has a probability of 8.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Argentina win is 2-0 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (14.52%) and 3-0 (10.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.95%) , while for a Iceland win it is 0-1 (3.98%).

Result

Argentina 73.65%
Draw 17.9% (-0.06)
Iceland 8.47% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

37.3% (+0.30)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.22% (+0.32)
Under 1.5 25.78% (-0.33)
Over 2.5 50.3% (+0.35)
Under 2.5 49.7% (-0.35)
Over 3.5 29.1% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 70.9% (-0.25)
Over 4.5 20.48% (+0.16)
Under 4.5 79.52% (-0.16)

Argentina Goals

Over 1.5 62.2% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 37.8% (-0.22)
Over 2.5 36.36% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 63.64% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 17.86% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 82.14% (-0.10)

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5 34.91% (+0.32)
Under 0.5 65.09% (-0.32)
Over 1.5 8.79% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 91.21% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 1.56% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 98.44% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 0.23%
Under 3.5 99.77%

Score analysis

Argentina 73.67%
Draw 17.9%
Iceland 8.48%
Argentina
2-0 @ 14.87% (-0.10)
1-0 @ 14.52% (-0.15)
3-0 @ 10.58% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.25% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 5.94% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 1.67% (+0.04)
Other @ 17.84% (+0.11)
Total : 73.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.95% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 7.33% (-0.14)
2-2 @ 2.29% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 17.9%
Iceland
0-1 @ 3.98% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 2.18% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 1.09% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 8.48%

Head to Head

World Cup Gameweek 1
Jun 16, 2018 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Otkrytiye Arena
  • Sergio Aguero 19' goal
  • goal Alfred Finnbogason 23'