/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Farglog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Ficelog.png)
-
Valentín Barco
8'
-
Valentín Barco
42'
-
Lionel Messi
72'
-
Lautaro Martínez
75'
-
Thiago Almada
86'
-
Victor Pálsson
29'
-
Daníel Leó Grétarsson
30'
-
Ísak Jóhannesson
63'
-
Elías Ólafsson
71'
-
Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson
77'
-
Aron Gunnarsson
78'
Argentina vs Iceland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F06%2Fcody-grubbs-sipa-usa-susa-argentina-s-lionel-messi-looks-across-the-pitch-on-june-6-2026-6a25f8e469d60680864763.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 73.2%. A draw had a probability of 18.25% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 8.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.81%) and 3-0 (10.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%) , while for a Iceland win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
Result
Argentina
73.2%
▼
(-0.71)
Draw
18.25%
▲
(+0.45)
Iceland
8.54%
▲
(+0.22)
Both Teams to Score:
36.95%
▲
(+0.11)
Goals
Over 1.5
73.54%
▼
(-0.61)
Under 1.5
26.46%
▲
(+0.61)
Over 2.5
49.4%
▼
(-0.81)
Under 2.5
50.6%
▲
(+0.81)
Over 3.5
28.3%
▼
(-0.70)
Under 3.5
71.7%
▲
(+0.71)
Over 4.5
19.8%
▼
(-0.72)
Under 4.5
80.2%
▲
(+0.72)
Argentina Goals
Over 1.5
61.44%
▼
(-0.85)
Under 1.5
38.56%
▲
(+0.85)
Over 2.5
35.5%
▼
(-1.01)
Under 2.5
64.5%
▲
(+1.01)
Over 3.5
17.23%
▼
(-0.77)
Under 3.5
82.77%
▲
(+0.77)
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5
34.9%
▲
(+0.45)
Under 0.5
65.1%
▼
(-0.46)
Over 1.5
8.74%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 1.5
91.26%
▼
(-0.20)
Over 2.5
1.56%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 2.5
98.44%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 3.5
0.24%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
99.76%
▼
(-0.04)
Score analysis
Argentina
73.21%
Draw
18.25%
Iceland
8.55%
Argentina
2-0
@
15.01%
▲
(+0.04)
1-0 @ 14.81% ▲ (+0.25)
3-0 @ 10.49% ▼ (-0.23)
2-1 @ 8.23% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 5.84% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 17.2% ▼ (-0.79)
Total : 73.21%
1-0 @ 14.81% ▲ (+0.25)
3-0 @ 10.49% ▼ (-0.23)
2-1 @ 8.23% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 5.84% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 17.2% ▼ (-0.79)
Total : 73.21%
Draw
1-1
@
8.03%
▲
(+0.13)
0-0 @ 7.6% ▲ (+0.25)
2-2 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 18.25%
0-0 @ 7.6% ▲ (+0.25)
2-2 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 18.25%
Iceland
0-1
@
4.06%
▲
(+0.10)
1-2 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.21% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 8.55%
1-2 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.21% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 8.55%