World Cup
England
Jul 15, 2026 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Atlanta Stadium
Argentina
  • Elliot Anderson 37' yellowcard
  • Anthony Gordon 55' goal
  • yellowcard Lisandro Martínez 42'
  • yellowcard Cristian Romero  51'
  • goal Enzo Fernández 85'
  • goal Lautaro Martínez 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo De Paul 90'+4'

England vs Argentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

England

All competitions

Argentina

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Argentina had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.55%) and 2-0 (5.57%). The likeliest Argentina win was 1-2 (7.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result

England 42.3% ▲ (+0.50)
Draw 22.95%
Argentina 34.75% ▼ (-0.46)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.05% ▼ (-0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.79% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 16.21% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 64% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 2.5 36% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 3.5 42.45% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 3.5 57.55% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 4.5 26.85% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 4.5 73.15% ▲ (+0.34)

England Goals

Over 1.5 48.5% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 1.5 51.5% ▼ (-0.28)
Over 2.5 24.22% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 75.78% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 10.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 89.93% ▼ (-0.01)

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5 71.17% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 0.5 28.83% ▲ (+0.34)
Over 1.5 42.1% ▼ (-0.54)
Under 1.5 57.9% ▲ (+0.54)
Over 2.5 19.57% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 2.5 80.43% ▲ (+0.47)
Over 3.5 7.66% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 3.5 92.34% ▲ (+0.29)

Score analysis

England 42.29%
Draw 22.94%
Argentina 34.74%
England
2-1 @ 8.51% ▲ (+0.09)
1-0 @ 6.55% ▲ (+0.10)
2-0 @ 5.57% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 9.62% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 42.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.86% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 6.65%
0-0 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.45% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 22.94%
Argentina
1-2 @ 7.59% ▼ (-0.04)
0-1 @ 5.76% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.38% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 7.21% ▼ (-0.25)
Total : 34.74%

Form Data

Norway 1 - 2 England
Mexico 2 - 3 England
England 2 - 1 Congo DR
Panama 0 - 2 England
England 0 - 0 Ghana
England 4 - 2 Croatia
Argentina 3 - 1 Switzerland
Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt
Argentina 3 - 2 Cape Verde
Jordan 1 - 3 Argentina
Argentina 2 - 0 Austria
Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria

Build-up

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