World Cup
Jul 3, 2026 11.00pm
3
2
ET Miami Stadium
  • Lionel Messi 29' goal
  • Lisandro Martínez 92' goal
  • Lisandro Martínez 93' goal
  • Diney Borges 111' goal
  • Gonzalo Montiel  115' yellowcard
  • goal Deroy Duarte 59'
  • yellowcard Kevin Lenini 68'
  • goal Sidny Lopes Cabral 103'

Argentina vs Cape Verde - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentina

All competitions

Cape Verde

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 62.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.85% and a win for Cape Verde had a probability of 14.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.95%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%) , while for a Cape Verde win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result

Argentina 62.35% (-0.11)
Draw 22.85% (-0.10)
Cape Verde 14.8% (+0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.6% (+0.75)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.99% (+0.63)
Under 1.5 29.01% (-0.63)
Over 2.5 45.25% (+0.75)
Under 2.5 54.75% (-0.75)
Over 3.5 23.95% (+0.60)
Under 3.5 76.05% (-0.61)
Over 4.5 14.16% (+0.38)
Under 4.5 85.84% (-0.37)

Argentina Goals

Over 1.5 52.39% (+0.42)
Under 1.5 47.61% (-0.42)
Over 2.5 25.9% (+0.34)
Under 2.5 74.1% (-0.35)
Over 3.5 10.3% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 89.7% (-0.19)

Cape Verde Goals

Over 0.5 46.18% (+0.61)
Under 0.5 53.82% (-0.61)
Over 1.5 14.72% (+0.50)
Under 1.5 85.28% (-0.49)
Over 2.5 3.36% (+0.19)
Under 2.5 96.64% (-0.19)
Over 3.5 0.62% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 99.38% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Argentina 62.36%
Draw 22.85%
Cape Verde 14.82%
Argentina
1-0 @ 14.7% (-0.32)
2-0 @ 12.95% (-0.17)
2-1 @ 9.35% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 7.62% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.5% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 1.99% (+0.08)
Other @ 10.25% (+0.18)
Total : 62.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.6%
0-0 @ 8.33% (-0.25)
2-2 @ 3.38% (+0.11)
Other @ 0.05% (+0.02)
Total : 22.85%
Cape Verde
0-1 @ 6.01% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 3.82% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 2.17% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.57% (+0.03)
Total : 14.82%

Build-up

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