World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Mar 24, 2025 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Nacional 24 de Setembro
  • Zidane Banjaqui 36' goal
  • Jose Correia 68' yellowcard
  • Alfa Semedo 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Lassina Traore 6'
  • yellowcard Issa Kabore 35'
  • yellowcard Steeve Yago 53'
  • yellowcard Saidou Simpore 65'
  • goal Lassina Traore 73'

Guinea-Bissau vs Burkina Faso - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Guinea-Bissau

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Mar 20, 2025 4.00pm
Sierra Leone 3 - 1 Guinea-Bissau

Burkina Faso

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Mar 21, 2025 4.00pm
Burkina Faso 4 - 1 Djibouti

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 43.03%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 27.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.97%) and 1-2 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 1-0 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burkina Faso would win this match.

Result

Guinea-Bissau 27.03% (-0.23)
Draw 29.94% (+0.18)
Burkina Faso 43.03% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.13% (-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5 33.54% (-0.60)
Under 2.5 66.46% (+0.60)
Over 3.5 15.1% (-0.41)
Under 3.5 84.9% (+0.41)
Over 4.5 5.68% (-0.21)
Under 4.5 94.32% (+0.22)

Guinea-Bissau Goals

Over 0.5 58% (-0.55)
Under 0.5 42% (+0.55)
Over 1.5 21.57% (-0.48)
Under 1.5 78.43% (+0.48)

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5 69.18% (-0.28)
Under 0.5 30.81% (+0.28)
Over 1.5 32.91% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 67.09% (+0.33)

Score analysis

Guinea-Bissau 27.02%
Draw 29.93%
Burkina Faso 43.02%
Guinea-Bissau
1-0 @ 11.22% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 5.73% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 4.87% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 1.66% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 1.41% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 27.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.21% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 12.94% (+0.29)
2-2 @ 3.37% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 29.93%
Burkina Faso
0-1 @ 15.23% (+0.23)
0-2 @ 8.97% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 7.78% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 3.52% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.05% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.05)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 43.02%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Nov 17, 2023 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de Marrakech
  • Aguibou Camara 10' goal
  • Bertrand Traore 61' goal
  • Ismahila Ouedraogo 68' yellowcard
  • Issoufou Dayo 85' yellowcard
  • Seydouba Cisse 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Janio Bikel 44'
  • yellowcard Alfa Semedo 69'
  • yellowcard Sori Mane 90'+1'
Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 22, 2017 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Rudinilson Silva 11' (OG)
  • goal Bertrand Traore 58'