
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2025 at 9pm UK
Stade Ben Ahmed El Abdi

Ethiopia6 - 1Djibouti
FT(HT: 3-0)
Akinbinu (51')
Youssouf Farada (57'), Siad Isman (82')
Youssouf Farada (57'), Siad Isman (82')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Ethiopia and Djibouti.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ethiopia 0-2 Egypt
Friday, March 21 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Friday, March 21 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Last Game: Burkina Faso 4-1 Djibouti
Friday, March 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Friday, March 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 62.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Djibouti had a probability of 15.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.36%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Djibouti win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ethiopia would win this match.
Result | ||
Ethiopia | Draw | Djibouti |
62.17% (![]() | 22.38% (![]() | 15.45% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.13% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.92% (![]() | 52.07% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.2% (![]() | 73.8% (![]() |
Ethiopia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.74% (![]() | 16.26% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.21% (![]() | 45.79% (![]() |
Djibouti Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.89% (![]() | 46.1% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.2% (![]() | 81.8% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Ethiopia 62.15%
Djibouti 15.45%
Draw 22.38%
Ethiopia | Draw | Djibouti |
1-0 @ 13.61% (![]() 2-0 @ 12.36% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.58% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.49% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.8% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.4% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.63% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.25% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.02% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 1.83% Total : 62.15% | 1-1 @ 10.54% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.5% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.71% ( ![]() Other @ 0.63% Total : 22.38% | 0-1 @ 5.8% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.08% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.25% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.05% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 1.31% Total : 15.45% |
How you voted: Ethiopia vs Djibouti
Ethiopia
75.0%Draw
12.5%Djibouti
12.5%8
Head to Head
Jun 9, 2024 5pm
Group Stage
Djibouti
1-1
Ethiopia
Dadzie (29')
Mohamed Aden (25'), Mohamed (87'), Mouktar Youssouf (90+4')
Mohamed Aden (25'), Mohamed (87'), Mouktar Youssouf (90+4')
Wondimu Dibaba (31')
Tafesse (78')
Tafesse (78')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0

Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 82 |
2 | Arsenal | 34 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 63 | 29 | 34 | 67 |
3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 65 | 44 | 21 | 62 |
4 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 66 | 43 | 23 | 61 |
5 | Chelsea | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 60 |
6 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Aston Villa | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 57 |
8 | Fulham | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 51 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 56 | 55 | 1 | 51 |
10 | Bournemouth | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 50 |
11 | Brentford | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 56 | 50 | 6 | 46 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 45 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 41 |
14 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 39 |
15 | Everton | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 38 |
16 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 62 | 56 | 6 | 37 |
17 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 36 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 33 | 74 | -41 | 21 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 27 | 76 | -49 | 18 |
20 | Southampton | 34 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 25 | 80 | -55 | 11 |
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