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Ethiopia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2025 at 9pm UK
Stade Ben Ahmed El Abdi
Djibouti national football team

Ethiopia
6 - 1
Djibouti

Desta Dana (19', 52', 70' pen.), Nasir Ahmed (34', 37', 58' pen.)
Tekeste (76')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Akinbinu (51')
Youssouf Farada (57'), Siad Isman (82')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Ethiopia and Djibouti.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Ethiopia 0-2 Egypt
Friday, March 21 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Burkina Faso 4-1 Djibouti
Friday, March 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 62.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Djibouti had a probability of 15.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.36%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Djibouti win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ethiopia would win this match.

Result
EthiopiaDrawDjibouti
62.17% (2.208 2.21) 22.38% (-0.893 -0.89) 15.45% (-1.313 -1.31)
Both teams to score 45.13% (-0.148 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.92% (1.288 1.29)52.07% (-1.288 -1.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.2% (1.104 1.1)73.8% (-1.102 -1.1)
Ethiopia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.74% (1.222 1.22)16.26% (-1.219 -1.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.21% (2.174 2.17)45.79% (-2.174 -2.17)
Djibouti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.89% (-0.977 -0.98)46.1% (0.977 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.2% (-0.768 -0.77)81.8% (0.76900000000001 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Ethiopia 62.15%
    Djibouti 15.45%
    Draw 22.38%
EthiopiaDrawDjibouti
1-0 @ 13.61% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 12.36% (0.37 0.37)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 7.49% (0.513 0.51)
3-1 @ 5.8% (0.249 0.25)
4-0 @ 3.4% (0.359 0.36)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.213 0.21)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.037 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.24% (0.175 0.18)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.056 0.06)
5-1 @ 0.96% (0.113 0.11)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 62.15%
1-1 @ 10.54% (-0.4 -0.4)
0-0 @ 7.5% (-0.391 -0.39)
2-2 @ 3.71% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 22.38%
0-1 @ 5.8% (-0.472 -0.47)
1-2 @ 4.08% (-0.274 -0.27)
0-2 @ 2.25% (-0.25 -0.25)
1-3 @ 1.05% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-3 @ 0.96% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 15.45%

How you voted: Ethiopia vs Djibouti

Ethiopia
75.0%
Draw
12.5%
Djibouti
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Jun 9, 2024 5pm
Group Stage
Djibouti
1-1
Ethiopia
Dadzie (29')
Mohamed Aden (25'), Mohamed (87'), Mouktar Youssouf (90+4')
Wondimu Dibaba (31')
Tafesse (78')
rhs 2.0
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