World Cup Qualifying - Africa
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Bereket Desta Dana
19'
-
Abubeker Nasir Ahmed
34'
-
Abubeker Nasir Ahmed
37'
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Bereket Desta Dana
52'
-
Abubeker Nasir Ahmed
58'
-
Bereket Desta Dana
70'
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Habtamu Tekeste
76'
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Samuel Akinbinu
51'
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Ali Youssouf Farada
57'
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Yabe Siad Isman
82'
Ethiopia vs Djibouti - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 62.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Djibouti had a probability of 15.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.36%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Djibouti win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ethiopia would win this match.
Result
Ethiopia
62.17%
▲
(+2.21)
Draw
22.38%
▼
(-0.90)
Djibouti
15.45%
▼
(-1.32)
Both Teams to Score:
45.13%
▼
(-0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.92%
▲
(+1.29)
Under 2.5
52.07%
▼
(-1.29)
Over 3.5
26.2%
▲
(+1.11)
Under 3.5
73.8%
▼
(-1.11)
Over 4.5
12.13%
▲
(+0.71)
Under 4.5
87.87%
▼
(-0.71)
Ethiopia Goals
Over 0.5
83.74%
▲
(+1.23)
Under 0.5
16.26%
▼
(-1.22)
Over 1.5
54.21%
▲
(+2.18)
Under 1.5
45.79%
▼
(-2.18)
Djibouti Goals
Over 0.5
53.89%
▼
(-0.98)
Under 0.5
46.1%
▲
(+0.98)
Over 1.5
18.2%
▼
(-0.77)
Under 1.5
81.8%
▲
(+0.77)
Score analysis
Ethiopia
62.15%
Draw
22.38%
Djibouti
15.45%
Ethiopia
1-0
@
13.61%
▼
(-0.15)
2-0 @ 12.36% ▲ (+0.37)
2-1 @ 9.58% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 7.49% ▲ (+0.52)
3-1 @ 5.8% ▲ (+0.25)
4-0 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.36)
4-1 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.22)
3-2 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.04)
5-0 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.18)
4-2 @ 1.02% ▼ (-95.29)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 62.15%
2-0 @ 12.36% ▲ (+0.37)
2-1 @ 9.58% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 7.49% ▲ (+0.52)
3-1 @ 5.8% ▲ (+0.25)
4-0 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.36)
4-1 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.22)
3-2 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.04)
5-0 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.18)
4-2 @ 1.02% ▼ (-95.29)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 62.15%
Draw
1-1
@
10.54%
▼
(-0.41)
0-0 @ 7.5% ▼ (-0.40)
2-2 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 22.38%
0-0 @ 7.5% ▼ (-0.40)
2-2 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 22.38%
Djibouti
0-1
@
5.8%
▼
(-0.48)
1-2 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.28)
0-2 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.25)
1-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 15.45%
1-2 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.28)
0-2 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.25)
1-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 15.45%