World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Mar 24, 2025 at 9pm UK

Stade Ben Ahmed El Abdi

Ethiopia
6 - 1
Djibouti

Desta Dana (19', 52', 70' pen.), Nasir Ahmed (34', 37', 58' pen.)
Tekeste (76')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Akinbinu (51')
Youssouf Farada (57'), Siad Isman (82')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Ethiopia and Djibouti.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ethiopia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Ethiopia 0-2 Egypt
Friday, March 21 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cameroon	3	4	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	0	4
3	Cape Verde	3	0	4
4	Ethiopia	3	-4	1

Djibouti

Last Game: Burkina Faso 4-1 Djibouti
Friday, March 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 62.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Djibouti had a probability of 15.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.36%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Djibouti win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ethiopia would win this match.

Result
Ethiopia	Draw	Djibouti
62.17% ( 2.21)	22.38% ( -0.89)	15.45% ( -1.31)

Both teams to score 45.13% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.92% (

1.29)

52.07% (

-1.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.2% (

1.1)

73.8% (

-1.1)

Ethiopia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.74% (

1.22)

16.26% (

-1.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.21% (

2.17)

45.79% (

-2.17)

Djibouti Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.89% (

-0.98)

46.1% (

0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.2% (

-0.77)

81.8% (

0.77)

Score Analysis

Ethiopia 62.15%

Djibouti 15.45%

Draw 22.38%

Ethiopia	Draw	Djibouti
1-0 @ 13.61% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 12.36% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.51) 3-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.25) 4-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.36) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.18) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.83% Total : 62.15%	1-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.4) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.39) 2-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.63% Total : 22.38%	0-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.47) 1-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.31% Total : 15.45%