Women's World Cup | Group Stage
Jul 25, 2023 at 3am UK
Allianz Stadium

Colombia Women
2 - 0
S. Korea Women

Catalina Usme Pineda (30' pen., 30' pen.), Lizeth Caicedo Alegria (39', 39')
Vanegas Catano (10'), Arias Vidal (45+6')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Sim (29'), Lim (45+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Women's World Cup clash between Colombia Women and South Korea Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colombia Women

Last Game: USA Women 2-0 Colombia Women
Tuesday, June 23 at 1am in Women's World Cup

South Korea Women

All competitions
Last Game: S. Korea Women 1-2 Italy Women
Wednesday, February 22 at 4.45pm in Arnold Clark Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia Women win with a probability of 57.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for South Korea Women had a probability of 18.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a South Korea Women win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colombia Women would win this match.

Result
Colombia WomenDrawSouth Korea Women
57.96% (-0.199 -0.2)23.66% (0.082000000000001 0.08)18.38% (0.119 0.12)
Both teams to score 47.1% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.48% (-0.151 -0.15)52.52% (0.151 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.82% (-0.13 -0.13)74.18% (0.131 0.13)
Colombia Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.1% (-0.128 -0.13)17.89% (0.129 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.31% (-0.221 -0.22)48.68% (0.22199999999999 0.22)
South Korea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.36% (0.048000000000002 0.05)42.64% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.02% (0.042999999999999 0.04)78.98% (-0.041000000000011 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Colombia Women 57.95%
    South Korea Women 18.38%
    Draw 23.66%
Colombia WomenDrawSouth Korea Women
1-0 @ 13.12% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 11.29% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.48% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.52% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.79% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 57.95%
1-1 @ 11.19% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.63% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 23.66%
0-1 @ 6.5% (0.047999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 4.77% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.77% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.36% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 18.38%

How you voted: Colombia Women vs S. Korea Women

Colombia Women
25.5%
Draw
25.5%
South Korea Women
49.1%
55