European Under-21s Championship | Group Stage
Jun 22, 2023 at 5pm UK
Ramaz Shengelias Sakhelobis Stadioni

Germany U21s
1 - 1
Israel U21s

Aurel Bisseck (26')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Turgeman (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's European Under-21 Championship clash between Germany Under-21s and Israel Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Germany Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: England U21s 3-1 Germany U21s
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Under-21 Friendlies

Israel Under-21s

Last Game: Spain U21s 3-0 Israel U21s
Tuesday, November 17 at 5.45pm in European Under-21 Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany Under-21s win with a probability of 55.46%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Israel Under-21s had a probability of 21.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany Under-21s win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Israel Under-21s win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Germany Under-21sDrawIsrael Under-21s
55.46% (0.088000000000001 0.09)22.66% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)21.88% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 55.66% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.14% (0.061 0.06)43.85% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.76% (0.060000000000002 0.06)66.24% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)
Germany Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.32% (0.051000000000002 0.05)15.68% (-0.054 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.27% (0.095999999999997 0.1)44.73% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Israel Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.01% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)33.98% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.33% (-0.023 -0.02)70.66% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Germany Under-21s 55.46%
    Israel Under-21s 21.88%
    Draw 22.65%
Germany Under-21sDrawIsrael Under-21s
1-0 @ 9.87% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 9.15% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.1% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.65% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.29% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.82% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.62% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 55.46%
1-1 @ 10.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.33% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.65%
1-2 @ 5.75% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.75% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.1% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 21.88%

How you voted: Germany U21s vs Israel U21s

Germany Under-21s
85.7%
Draw
7.1%
Israel Under-21s
7.1%
28