Ural
2 - 0
Arsenal Tula

Bicfalvi (5'), Egorychev (32')
Gerasimov (45+1'), Kuzmichev (65'), Kolesnichenko (90+1'), Pomazun (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Markov (19'), Bjornstrom (75'), Belyaev (90+4')

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Ural Yekaterinburg and Arsenal Tula.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 36.38%. A win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.67%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Arsenal Tula win was 0-1 (11.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ural Yekaterinburg would win this match.

Result
Ural Yekaterinburg	Draw	Arsenal Tula
36.38%	28.49%	35.13%

Both teams to score 46.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.96%

60.04%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.73%

80.27%

Ural Yekaterinburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.47%

31.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.08%

67.92%

Arsenal Tula Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.67%

32.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.16%

68.84%

Score Analysis

Ural Yekaterinburg 36.37%

Arsenal Tula 35.13%

Draw 28.48%

Ural Yekaterinburg	Draw	Arsenal Tula
1-0 @ 11.76% 2-1 @ 7.67% 2-0 @ 6.79% 3-1 @ 2.95% 3-0 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.93% Total : 36.37%	1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.19% 2-2 @ 4.33% Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.48%	0-1 @ 11.51% 1-2 @ 7.5% 0-2 @ 6.5% 1-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.73% Total : 35.13%