UTA Arad
Romanian SuperLiga | Gameweek 15
Nov 6, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stadionul Motorul

UTA Arad
2 - 1
Dinamo Bucharest

Micovschi (41'), Freitas (90+4' pen.)
Micovschi (44'), Capusa (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Politic (8')
Rosu (18'), Ilic (53')
Coverage of the Romanian SuperLiga clash between UTA Arad and Dinamo Bucharest.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: U Craiova 1948 2-3 UTA Arad
Sunday, October 29 at 12pm in Romanian SuperLiga
Last Game: Dinamo Bucharest 0-0 CSM Iasi
Friday, October 27 at 6.30pm in Romanian SuperLiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UTA Arad win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Dinamo Bucharest had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a UTA Arad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Dinamo Bucharest win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that UTA Arad would win this match.

Result
UTA AradDrawDinamo Bucharest
38.6% (-5.708 -5.71)27.1% (0.743 0.74)34.3% (4.963 4.96)
Both teams to score 50.42% (-0.545 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.09% (-1.5 -1.5)54.91% (1.498 1.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.8% (-1.256 -1.26)76.2% (1.253 1.25)
UTA Arad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.32% (-3.692 -3.69)27.67% (3.69 3.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.77% (-4.999 -5)63.23% (4.997 5)
Dinamo Bucharest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.72% (2.669 2.67)30.28% (-2.671 -2.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.54% (3.077 3.08)66.45% (-3.079 -3.08)
Score Analysis
    UTA Arad 38.59%
    Dinamo Bucharest 34.3%
    Draw 27.1%
UTA AradDrawDinamo Bucharest
1-0 @ 10.76% (-0.52 -0.52)
2-1 @ 8.26% (-0.681 -0.68)
2-0 @ 6.91% (-1.141 -1.14)
3-1 @ 3.54% (-0.719 -0.72)
3-0 @ 2.96% (-0.872 -0.87)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.249 -0.25)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.383 -0.38)
4-0 @ 0.95% (-0.417 -0.42)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 38.59%
1-1 @ 12.86% (0.34 0.34)
0-0 @ 8.38% (0.476 0.48)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.1%
0-1 @ 10.01% (1.236 1.24)
1-2 @ 7.68% (0.729 0.73)
0-2 @ 5.98% (1.11 1.11)
1-3 @ 3.06% (0.487 0.49)
0-3 @ 2.38% (0.58 0.58)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.128 0.13)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.2 0.2)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 34.3%