Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botosani win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for UTA Arad had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botosani win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest UTA Arad win was 0-1 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.