Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FCSB win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for CSM Iasi had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a FCSB win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest CSM Iasi win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FCSB would win this match.

Result
FCSB	Draw	CSM Iasi
46.1% ( 0.01)	25.98% ( -0.09)	27.92% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 51.25% (

0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.36% (

0.42)

52.63% (

-0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.72% (

0.36)

74.28% (

-0.35)

FCSB Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.2% (

0.18)

22.8% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.5% (

0.27)

56.5% (

-0.27)

CSM Iasi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.38% (

0.29)

33.62% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.73% (

0.31)

70.27% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

FCSB 46.1%

CSM Iasi 27.92%

Draw 25.98%

FCSB	Draw	CSM Iasi
1-0 @ 11.33% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.13% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.08% Total : 46.1%	1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.98%	0-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.55% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 27.92%