Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 3, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Arena Nationala

FCSB
3 - 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia

Dokovic (27', 82'), Popescu (90+1')
Harut (33'), Dawa (45+4'), Dokovic (57'), Olaru (58'), Tarnovanu (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pedrinho (49'), Daskalov (68')
Daskalov (15'), Gurishta (25'), Viyachki (90+3')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between FCSB and CSKA 1948 Sofia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Otelul 0-2 FCSB
Saturday, July 29 at 7.30pm in Romanian SuperLiga
Last Game: CSKA 1948 Sofia 0-1 FCSB
Wednesday, July 26 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FCSB win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for CSKA 1948 Sofia had a probability of 23.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a FCSB win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a CSKA 1948 Sofia win it was 0-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FCSB would win this match.

Result
FCSBDrawCSKA 1948 Sofia
51.59% (0.007000000000005 0.01)25.24% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)23.16% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Both teams to score 49.18% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.76% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)53.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.2% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)74.8% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
FCSB Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.35% (0.0049999999999955 0)20.64% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.79% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)53.21% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
CSKA 1948 Sofia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.97% (-0.002999999999993 -0)38.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.2% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)74.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    FCSB 51.59%
    CSKA 1948 Sofia 23.16%
    Draw 25.24%
FCSBDrawCSKA 1948 Sofia
1-0 @ 12.38%
2-0 @ 9.77% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-1 @ 9.45%
3-0 @ 5.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.4%
4-0 @ 2.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.96%
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 51.59%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 7.85% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 7.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 5.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.47%
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 23.16%

How you voted: FCSB vs CSKA 1948 Sofia

FCSB
60.0%
Draw
0.0%
CSKA 1948 Sofia
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Jul 26, 2023 6.30pm
Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg
CSKA 1948 Sofia
0-1
FCSB

Petrov (58'), Thalis (66')
Coman (28')
Baluta (20')