Primeira Liga
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-
Wesley Gasolina
3'
-
Ze Vitor
45'
-
William Kokolo
48'
-
Pablo Ruan
66'
-
Ianis Stoica
45'+1'
-
Abraham Marcus
62'
-
Leandro Antonetti
83'
-
Leandro Antonetti
86'
Nacional vs Estrela Amadora - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 0-1 (8.48%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
Result
Nacional
43.29%
▲
(+0.04)
Draw
27.94%
▼
(-0.03)
Estrela Amadora
28.76%
▼
(-0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
51.07%
▲
(+0.12)
Goals
Over 1.5
71.82%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 1.5
28.18%
▼
(-0.17)
Over 2.5
46.65%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 2.5
53.35%
▼
(-0.19)
Over 3.5
25.39%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 3.5
74.61%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 4.5
13.59%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 4.5
86.41%
▼
(-0.14)
First Half Winner
Nacional
29.02%
▲
(+0.04)
Draw
49.7%
▼
(-0.05)
Estrela Amadora
21.28%
▲
(+0.02)
Team To Score First
Nacional
50.97%
▲
(+0.05)
No Goal
8.61%
▼
(-0.06)
Estrela Amadora
40.42%
Corners
Over 8
56.28%
▼
(-0.05)
Equal 8
11.49%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 8
32.23%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 9
44.7%
▼
(-0.04)
Equal 9
11.57%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 9
43.72%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 10.5
34%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 10.5
66%
▲
(+0.02)
Nacional Goals
Over 1.5
40.67%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 1.5
59.33%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 2.5
16.57%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 2.5
83.43%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 3.5
5.61%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 3.5
94.39%
▼
(-0.07)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5
63.61%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 0.5
36.39%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
29.2%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
70.8%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 2.5
9.95%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 2.5
90.05%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 3.5
2.76%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
97.24%
▼
(-0.04)
Score analysis
Nacional
43.31%
Draw
27.95%
Estrela Amadora
28.76%
Nacional
1-0
@
11.11%
▼
(-0.06)
2-1 @ 9.1% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.68% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 43.31%
2-1 @ 9.1% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.68% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 43.31%
Draw
1-1
@
12.83%
▼
(-0.04)
0-0 @ 8.61% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 27.95%
0-0 @ 8.61% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 27.95%
Estrela Amadora
0-1
@
8.48%
▼
(-0.04)
1-2 @ 6.84%
0-2 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.45%
2-3 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 28.76%
1-2 @ 6.84%
0-2 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.45%
2-3 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 28.76%
Head to Head
Club Friendlies 3
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
28
-
Jesús Ramírez
2'
-
Daniel Jr
48'
-
Daniel Jr
49'
-
Paulinho Bóia
71'
-
L. Vallier
77'
-
Filipe Soares
77'
-
Francisco Gonçalves
89'
-
Jovane Cabral
46'
-
Tom Moustier
46'
-
Jefferson Encada
74'
-
Sydney van Hooijdonk
74'
-
Jefferson Encada
75'
-
Leandro Antonetti
85'
Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
28
-
Matheus Dias
37'
-
Francisco Sacalumbo
12'
-
Francisco Sacalumbo
21'
-
Leo Cordeiro
72'
-
Jovane Cabral
81'
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
11
-
Ferro
62'
-
Paulo Daniel Valente Moreira
77'
-
Kikas
86'
-
Luis Esteves
12'