Primeira Liga Gameweek 3
Aug 23, 2026 3.30pm
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Last game
Aug 14, 2026 8.15pm
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 2 Guimaraes

Nacional

All competitions
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 3.30pm
Nacional 2 - 0 Estoril

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 49.64%. A draw has a probability of 26.22% and a win for Nacional has a probability of 24.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.18%) , while for a Nacional win it is 0-1 (7.61%).

Result

Vitoria de Guimaraes 49.64% (-0.12)
Draw 26.22% (+0.05)
Nacional 24.18% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.42% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.91% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 28.09% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 47% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 53% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 25.59% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 74.41% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 14.05% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 85.95% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Vitoria de Guimaraes 34.8% (-0.09)
Draw 47.13% (+0.02)
Nacional 18.07% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Vitoria de Guimaraes 57.54% (-0.04)
No Goal 8.34% (+0.03)
Nacional 34.12%

Corners

Over 8 58.75% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.42%
Under 8 29.83% (-0.02)
Over 9 47.03% (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.72% (-0.01)
Under 9 41.25% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 35.99% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 64.01% (-0.02)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 1.5 44.79% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 55.21% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 19.68% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 80.32% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 7% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 93% (+0.05)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 59.1% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 40.9% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 24.87% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 75.13% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 7.92% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 92.08% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.06% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.94% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 49.64%
Draw 26.22%
Nacional 24.18%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 12.18% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 9.05% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.75% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.47% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.6%
Other @ 6.9% (-0.05)
Total : 49.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.18% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.34% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.74%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.22%
Nacional
0-1 @ 7.61% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 5.94%
0-2 @ 3.67% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.06% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.63% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.96% (+0.02)
Total : 24.18%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
May 16, 2026 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio da Madeira
  • Jesús Ramírez 69' goal
  • Pablo Ruan 71' yellowcard
  • Jesús Ramírez 86' yellowcard
  • Jesús Ramírez 87' yellowcard
  • André Sousa 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Francisco Gonçalves 90'+1' yellowcard
  • João Aurélio 90'+3' yellowcard
  • João Aurélio 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Noah Jose Saviolo 62'
  • yellowcard Samu 78'
  • yellowcard Samu 79'
  • yellowcard 80'
  • yellowcard Zeega 80'
  • yellowcard Miguel Nogueira 80'
  • yellowcard Hugo Nunes 80'
  • yellowcard Zeega 81'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 17
Jan 2, 2026 8.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Diogo Sousa 46' yellowcard
  • A. Ndoye 59' yellowcard
  • Oumar Camara 60' yellowcard
  • Tony Strata 67' yellowcard
  • Noah Jose Saviolo 70' goal
  • Rodrigo Abascal 87' goal
  • Fabio Blanco 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chiheb Labidi 60'
  • yellowcard Pablo Ruan 60'
  • yellowcard Francisco Gonçalves 66'
  • yellowcard Lucas João 76'
  • yellowcard L. Vallier 76'
  • goal Chiheb Labidi 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 32
May 3, 2025 3.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio da Madeira
  • Djibril Soumare 45' yellowcard
  • Ze Vitor 59' yellowcard
  • Fuki Yamada 73' goal
  • goal Tiago Silva 13'
  • yellowcard Jesus Andres Ramirez 34'
  • yellowcard Tiago Silva 45'
  • yellowcard Telmo Arcanjo 61'
  • goal Jesus Andres Ramirez 64'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 15
Dec 23, 2024 6.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Tiago Silva 24' goal
  • Nuno Santos 49' goal
  • Tomas Handel 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Isaac Aguiar Tomich 9'
  • yellowcard Ze Vitor 18'
  • goal Joao Aurelio 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 29
Apr 26, 2021 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Pedro Mendes 7' goal
  • Jorge Fernandes 15' yellowcard
  • Bryan Rochez 44' yellowcard
  • Larry Azouni 51' yellowcard
  • Silvio 59' yellowcard
  • Abdullahi Ibrahim Alhassan 81' yellowcard
  • Eber Bessa 84' yellowcard
  • Rochinha 84' yellowcard
Primeira Liga Gameweek 12
Jan 21, 2021 8.15pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Ricardo Quaresma 22' goal
  • Gideon Mensah 33' yellowcard
  • Jorge Fernandes 41' yellowcard
  • Oscar Estupinan 51' goal
  • Lucas Kal 61' goal
  • Andre Andre 67' yellowcard
  • goal Kenji Gorre 16'
  • yellowcard Larry Azouni 19'
  • yellowcard Kenji Gorre 58'